It's almost impossible to improve upon the 12z GFS solution (until it tucks another 30 miles NW). I fully expect a reduction of some sort from 12z. We should know by hour 30 or so how it will play out though. Quick with pulling the band aid off
There are several variables at play here that likely won`t be
resolved with much more clarity for another day or two.
So when snow starts falling, we will know