Ecanem

10 minutes ago, Gordo74 said:

Don't do this people. 48 hours ago we were talking about all rain. Now that we're in the short term models, everyone getting their hopes up.

We all know that this ends with certain members calling it a bust because we didn't see double digits because some models went wonky close to the event.

Honestly, I feel like with winter storms. If you are expecting snow 24+ hours out. You end up disappointed. 

My kids school already prepped them for a 'fid' day tomorrow (no more snow days, just school from home now).  

Interesting is that most of the storm would come after the morning but there could be an issue getting home from school.,

Can we talk about Saturday morning temperature again? 

Just got up.  Current air temp at my house in Upper St Clair near Bridgeville is -2. Hit -4.4 at 5:50 AM. 

18 hours ago, KPITSnow said:

Clipper tomorrow is looking worse and worse. NAM 3k gives Pittsburgh almost nothing.

For posterity sake. I’m almost at 2” well south of the city. 

Lake effect bands have not stopped all day at seven springs.  Add to that 30+ mph winds. Been a wild day. 

Some Bands whipping into Allegheny county. 
 

https://imgur.com/a/gS74tp9

Current radar. 

If it makes you feel any better. It’s sleeting almost all the way up to Cleveland.  

29 minutes ago, Ahoff said:

That looks all snow, why wouldn’t it pick up mixing?

These radar apps are all just guessing.  

Massive band moving north.  
 

My worry with seven springs was the dry slot because how close it was to the low.  We are drying up here. 

Hard to measure from blowing snow. Probably 3”-4” at seven springs. 

It’s ripping here. https://imgur.com/a/kypmV25

Radar looks like wv turning to snow.  
 

https://imgur.com/a/rpzyx1b

Weather app reports wintery mix.  It’s definitely not a mix in the mountains 

Dumping. 
 

no rain. 
 

https://imgur.com/a/spOJIGs

Will let you know when this hits me. 
 

currently snow tubing. 

Flakes are falling at springs. 

1 minute ago, TimB84 said:

40 and a chance of rain on Wednesday. A garden variety 6-8” event will be almost gone in areas that get any sunshine at all in 3 days.

Not in gfs.  That’s snow. 

1 minute ago, north pgh said:

And don’t forget….it’s gonna be could the next couple weeks so the snow won’t be going anywhere. 

Good point. I don’t see the 540 line getting above Pittsburgh in the entire gfs run. 

All the short range models have this low just riding up the Appalachians  now. The question remains of how far the deform bands set out and how much dry slot there is. 

5 minutes ago, Ahoff said:

January ‘94 is looking very similar to the models.

I was 11. Probably thought it was a minor storm compared to 93. 

What’s the closest analogy to this storm? Honestly I’ve been following storms since the accuweather forums and I just can’t remember one that has this much QPF 

All this talk makes me question. Hrrr vs NAM. And then I found this. 
 

and im still confused