JakkelWx

I like reading earthlight's and Isotherm's content on long range discussions in the 33andrain website. Lots of valuable information to find there.

How did DT miss the fact that it clearly said 11:00 AM at the top? DT starting this pointless argument should signify his low point.

3k nam at hr 27...

12z EPS is farther north

The north trends were certainly interesting, had to pull the popcorn out of the refrigerator

46 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Um...

 

Looks like it shifted a little north since 10:15 AM? It looks like it's just south of philly now

Morning drive, temperature is hovering around 18 degrees

That Scud person was an oxygen thief.

It's over

Bittersweet feelings this morning, although i do lean more sweet with the EPS's positive trends north. Lots of members close to the coast, I don't see how eastern MD doesnt get at least some snowfall as the models will continue to overdo confluence at this range.

10 minutes ago, high risk said:

18z FV3GFS (per mageval.ncep.noaa.gov) took a bit of a step back.   0.5" liquid line stays well south in VA, with the DC area on the northern edge.

you sure you're not looking at yesterday's 18z? 

Fv3 loaded to hour 156!!

8 minutes ago, Wonderdog said:

Old GFS has also been consistent the last couple of days except for yesterday's 18z blip.

Considerably more jumpy than the Fv3. A 10-run trend gif on TT comparing the FV3 vs the GFS's consistency speaks for itself.

QPF mean on the 18z GEFS is a setback. Less precip for the DC-Balt-Philly crew. Pivotalweather

6 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

FV3 wobbled south. Basically nothing north of DC on 18z run.

It's ok. Sometimes we accidentally look at the previous day's 18z run and not the latest.

For those of you who don't know, the 12 Fv3 GFS is out to 276 hours on weathernerds.org

There's still room for changes so i'm not completely out. I think i'll decidedly keep my optimism instead of my pessimism.

Edit: The 18z GFS has huge 500 changes from the 12z. I actually wouldn't want to be the first jumper 

FUgly 18z GFS run. If the Fv3 shows a south trend, I quit.

I sometimes use a site called weathernerds.org, which has a more interesting layout. You can choose models on that site and drag your mouse over an area to zoom. Not sure if you guys have seen it already, but I recommend that site if TT ever goes down for some reason.

The 12z FV3 looped from hour 114-144:

I've noticed some of the banter has leaked onto the main disco thread

06z FV3 is a big improvement from the 0z. At hour 138, it is snowing north of 40N.

Joe bastardi rocking it with the pioneer model! It seems to match up with the euro weeklies, lol

Edit:

Your forecast for the MA this weekend

Also... is the SE forum already panicking because of a northward shift in today's models? Or is it just me being in the Mid-Atlantic

Just for kicks and giggles

Sorry for sounding amateur but what does a high near NY mean for MA snowstorms?