largetornado

With a slight risk of severe on thursday in southern half of subforums, time to kick off this years general severe weather thread. Pretty conditional tor threat on thursday but if thermos improve, this looks to be a classic warm front rider event for the area. Some similarities between this and 12/1/2018. Im not overly optimistic as the models are kinda all over the place right now. NAM suite doesnt have good 60+ dews. Low placement among models is a pretty big spread. The experimental models (RRFS and MPAS-RN) are certainly more bullish.

I’m not crying. I’m pointing out a blatant lie. You NPC wouldn’t understand that.

Bullshit. Guys are actively hoping they get a mix. “ 1 hour ago, AWMT30 said: Zero tears shed for anyone on the EC.... Now tears of laughter absolutely love seeing them get pingers instead of a Big Dog. ”

The people of Cincinnati deserve this. They’ve never had a 24 hour total over 11.8”

RPDS says ky is a glacier

I think the Ohio river at Cincinnati is going to freeze. River is currently 34 degrees at ironton.

Warm noses historically under done. Push this 100 miles north. In all reality the Tennessee ice storm is now the ky ice storm as this is an i70 special

Euro AI has ticked north yet again. the 0z op run may be something special

0z

Temps are warming further north cutting back on snow totals

Looking like Ohio valley is going to get smashed. This trend bringing the ice further north could result in long term power outages due to prolonged and severe cold behind this

https://x.com/Kentuckyweather/status/1923201576534978717 South illinois, indiana, and all of kentucky appears to have a rough day ahead. Broyles is on duty. i expect a pink sharped for bottom left quarter of this image

I wouldnt be suprised to see a storm develop along the indiana/oh border. cap seems to erode as the day goes on as an arc of 500mb vorticity traverses NE.

Red Sharpie for tomorrow. Wind Driven Mod. 10/45/30 all hatched.

Satellite as of 12:05. Good pockets of CU developing. 15Z HRRR has pretty significant cell right over Chicago metro. Could be a very costly hail storm if that happens.