Red1976Red

CMC solution dumps 1-2" of heavy rain on top of frozen rivers in the NC high country into south-west Virginia. We need a warm-up before any rain event or there may be some trouble.

12z EURO was very moist for western NC and east of the blue ridge. Easily warning criteria if frozen. Temps looked weird, 2meter looked like some areas (pockets) east of the mountains got stuck at freezing throughout all of the qpf. Most areas get glazed at the onset, Piedmont included. Mountains don't look good for all ice, as they are positioned too far west, but they do flip back to snow as main moisture leaves. I wouldn't be surprised to see the EURO and CMC cut back on qpf given dry air. Will have to watch the trends. Timing may also dictate on whether its more wintry or rainy.