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SnowtoRain

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Everything posted by SnowtoRain

  1. @csnavywxany thoughts on if the ground level cold will hold out longer? Most mesos have our region 33 to 35 for a period this afternoon.
  2. 14.5, close to 3" in Easton, heavy snow, sleet line extends from lower Dorchester to the mouth of the Patuxent River on western shore.
  3. 14.5, heavy snow, closing in on 3" in Easton. Sleet line looks to be at very lower Dorchester county extending across to the Patuxent. Running about 2 to 5 degrees colder than mesos.
  4. 16.9, pixie dust starting in Easton, looks like Cambridge has a dusting.
  5. First pixie dust flakes in Easton, extremely light but basically no virga
  6. Im interested to see if we can eek out an inch or two Weds night to Thursday
  7. @CAPEaneed @csnavywx, whats the latest? 2 to 6" of snow, 1" of sleet, 0.25" of freezing rain, followed by rain? Seems like icing impacts could be alleviated by marginal temps and change to rain?
  8. Looks like we will all see rain at some point with this storm. Soil temps should be at or below freezing so I am not sure if that provides some buffer to the snow when there is rain.
  9. Forcast has not changed. Biggest factors are thump and ground temps, both things models will keep waffling on.
  10. Looks like GFS and Euro are slowly starting to meet in the middle. Suspect the rain/ice line will setup somewhere just west of Easton in the end. Obviously, much of precip type/amount and how quick things change over is more of day of thing in a situation like this. GFS likes to give us a nice thump of snow still.
  11. NAM also holds ground temps colder for longer but less snow.
  12. 6z Euro slightly less aggressive with the ground level warm air push across Delmarva, basically east of the portion of rt 50 that runs north to south is where it gets above freezing.
  13. Agreed. The 0z fv3 hi-res looks intriguing, for what that is worth at this range or any range
  14. I put in our southern md subforum their rationale.
  15. Just read Mount Hollys forecast discussion, they are banking on high ratios to get to the 12 to 18" they show on their current snow map. A lot of caveats in the discussion for our region regarding lower potential totals due to rain and mixing, so their current map is basically best case scenario.
  16. I would be interested to know what they are looking at to make that prediction. I haven't seen the midshore above 12" on any model run recently.
  17. Gross, we need the rain though. Based on the Euro and GFS trends I think we know where this is headed now. Marginal warning level event, better odds to be on the low end of the guidance.
  18. Euro gets most of us above freezing for a period, everything else the same. 4 to 8" snow, to sleet, freezing rain, and then rain briefly. GFS is similar but stays a bit colder. @CAPEand @csnavywx, you all seeing anything different?
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