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SnowtoRain

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Everything posted by SnowtoRain

  1. SnowtoRain
    16.9, pixie dust starting in Easton, looks like Cambridge has a dusting.
  2. SnowtoRain
    First pixie dust flakes in Easton, extremely light but basically no virga
  3. SnowtoRain
    16.9 and dp has creeped up to 1.1
  4. SnowtoRain
    17.2/0.5
  5. SnowtoRain
    18.3/0.1
  6. SnowtoRain
    Im interested to see if we can eek out an inch or two Weds night to Thursday
  7. SnowtoRain
    @CAPEaneed @csnavywx, whats the latest? 2 to 6" of snow, 1" of sleet, 0.25" of freezing rain, followed by rain? Seems like icing impacts could be alleviated by marginal temps and change to rain?
  8. SnowtoRain
    Looks like we will all see rain at some point with this storm. Soil temps should be at or below freezing so I am not sure if that provides some buffer to the snow when there is rain.
  9. SnowtoRain
    Forcast has not changed. Biggest factors are thump and ground temps, both things models will keep waffling on.
  10. SnowtoRain
    Looks like GFS and Euro are slowly starting to meet in the middle. Suspect the rain/ice line will setup somewhere just west of Easton in the end. Obviously, much of precip type/amount and how quick things change over is more of day of thing in a situation like this. GFS likes to give us a nice thump of snow still.
  11. SnowtoRain
    NAM also holds ground temps colder for longer but less snow.
  12. SnowtoRain
    6z Euro slightly less aggressive with the ground level warm air push across Delmarva, basically east of the portion of rt 50 that runs north to south is where it gets above freezing.
  13. SnowtoRain
    Agreed. The 0z fv3 hi-res looks intriguing, for what that is worth at this range or any range
  14. SnowtoRain
    I put in our southern md subforum their rationale.
  15. SnowtoRain
    Just read Mount Hollys forecast discussion, they are banking on high ratios to get to the 12 to 18" they show on their current snow map. A lot of caveats in the discussion for our region regarding lower potential totals due to rain and mixing, so their current map is basically best case scenario.
  16. SnowtoRain
    I would be interested to know what they are looking at to make that prediction. I haven't seen the midshore above 12" on any model run recently.
  17. SnowtoRain
    High 54.3, currently 36.7
  18. SnowtoRain
    Yeah, last year's events were near perfect.
  19. SnowtoRain
    Gross, we need the rain though. Based on the Euro and GFS trends I think we know where this is headed now. Marginal warning level event, better odds to be on the low end of the guidance.
  20. SnowtoRain
    Euro gets most of us above freezing for a period, everything else the same. 4 to 8" snow, to sleet, freezing rain, and then rain briefly. GFS is similar but stays a bit colder. @CAPEand @csnavywx, you all seeing anything different?
  21. SnowtoRain
    NAM and RGEM have a nice front end but then again mesos at range don't really mean too much
  22. SnowtoRain
    Euro said break out your ice skates. Looks like we are in for a text book Delmarvalicious winter event, 4 to 8" followed by unforgiving sleet and freezing rain. Its been awhile. We have been lucky recently to have some nice pure powder events so time to enjoy this storm and every winter p-type possible.
  23. SnowtoRain
    Just pulls us right back in. 0z tonight should set expectations
  24. SnowtoRain
    Mix line well south and east of Cambridge...too bad tomorrow is Thursday and not Saturday
  25. SnowtoRain
    I would give it until 0z tonight when more data is in to completely write off this event.
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