Climate175
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Everything posted by Climate175
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And besides, they are acting like the projected storm is going to happen tonight lol.
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I’m giving it until Thursday night to agree. Not out of desperation, just knowing that anything can happen.
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Summed it up well.
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It’s still Tuesday, it’s not Thursday/Friday, models are bound to shift. It’s only a matter of what direction. If it is still OTS by that point, then we can conclude it is going that way. While GFS and Euro showed more OTS—the 12z WeatherNext 2.0 yesterday still showed snow over our region and not OTS
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12z suite looking good thus far. I'd rather be in the bullseye on Thurs/Fri, if this materializes. Right now, the fact all models are picking up a costal storm and the dynamics look favorable is the key takeaway.
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Exactly where we want it to be at this stage.
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970mb off the coast. Wow.
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Plenty of cold air available, and the current snowpack on the ground helps a bit too.
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Compared to the 00z Ensemble Mean, the 06z was a tad more closer to the coast.
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06z WeatherNext 2.0 Ensemble Mean showed this.
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To think—the upstream energy that could help drive this system is currently over the Pacific It is not depicted some 300hr away, but currently present as we speak.
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Thanks for that rundown!
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GFS 12Z: ~10:30 AM EST 18Z: ~4:30 PM EST ECMWF (Euro) 12Z: ~1:45–2:00 PM EST 18Z: ~7:45–8:30 PM EST Is this about right?
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I'm a bit rusty on the times each model runs, could someone give a brief run down again?
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I hope we hear that word "Folks" so many times today lol.
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Exactly. Just about 120 hrs from the forecasted precip (snow) entering the region. Not a guarantee, but the fact this next one could be a Miller A looks promising.
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Strong signal.
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Good point! Adjustments incoming (that's a given for sure lol).
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January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Climate175 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
This seems appropriate for right now. -
It kinda looks similar, but you and I know it's not going to look exactly like that 13 days from now.
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There is digital snow in some places N and W this run long range lol.
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I'm not sure where you are located, but If you are N and W of I-95, then that would be expected.
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I won't as I remember it's only mid-December and I-95 and East is not climatology favored to get big snow at this time. If you're at those expectations, you can't be disappointed. If you having high expectations of a big hit of snow, then....
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You can't rule anything out yet. Let's see what happens!
