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Cheers for Western Ears

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  1. Cheers for Western Ears
    I know this is a little late but... here is a shot I had the chance to get with drone from the Blue Ridge Parkway this past Sunday. I was fairly impressed that so many leaves were still on the trees after the hard rain and wind from Saturday night.
  2. Cheers for Western Ears
    Curious as to how this upcoming couple of weeks of forecast temps, should they verify, compare to the past couple of years? Seems odd for it to be so warm so late in the year. Even compared to the last couple of years.
  3. Cheers for Western Ears
    Seems like the fv3 came a little north of the 18z. Not a bad look at this stage.
  4. Cheers for Western Ears
    Rain-Snow mix has now transitioned to mostly sleet and some light snow mixing in Clemmons.
  5. Cheers for Western Ears
    Rain-Snow mix here in Clemmons, NC. Just started mixing about 20 minutes ago. Was a drizzle before then.
  6. Cheers for Western Ears
    How did the 12z op run look?
  7. Cheers for Western Ears
    It is encouraging to continue to see support from both the GFS as well as the Fv3 (op runs that is) is the Euro still in agreement at all?
  8. Cheers for Western Ears
    Could you post a map?
  9. Cheers for Western Ears
    Where did you find this?
  10. Cheers for Western Ears
    Seems like the chances of some backside snow look better for NC folks as well. According to the 12z fv3 that is..
  11. Cheers for Western Ears
    Care to post pics? Not seeing anything at my current location but I am quite a bit lower in elevation than you.
  12. Cheers for Western Ears
    Has anyone heard or received any reports on how the storm is doing out west so far? Under or over performing?
  13. Cheers for Western Ears
    When do you guys suppose they will start issuing advisories and warnings for the areas affected by the storm?
  14. Cheers for Western Ears
    Yea sorry I should have been more specific as to what I meant. I meant the fact that the model seemed to be rather low on moisture compared to the other global models.
  15. Cheers for Western Ears
    Yea, sorry I wasn't clear to what I was referring to. I was talking about both the fact that it seemed well north and seemed rather low on qpf.
  16. Cheers for Western Ears
    Is anyone concerned with what the Nam is showing? I realize it is well outside of it's range but still..
  17. Cheers for Western Ears
    Wouldn't be surprised at all lol. What is your accumulation right now?
  18. Cheers for Western Ears
    Nice! You're in a prime spot it sounds like. Would love to be on top of Howard's creek near the tater hill area right now. Im located more north. Towards laurel knob.
  19. Cheers for Western Ears
    Snowing quite a bit in Todd. Fine flakes currently
  20. Cheers for Western Ears
    In a good way or bad way precip wise?
  21. Cheers for Western Ears
    Do you guys expect the all too common nw trend to commence in the next day or so or are you guys fairly confident it will stay suppressed until show time?
  22. Cheers for Western Ears
    Grit, would you feel safe saying the mtns around boone/ashe could see over a foot realistically? Also are Temps a concern based off the latest models?
  23. Cheers for Western Ears
    Is it not a rarity to have so many models on board with a similar storm track at this point? I feel as if most of the time it is 2 vs. 2 or 3 vs. 1. I realize the fact that some solutions are warmer than others but they seem to all have a similar storm track (slider rather than cutter).
  24. Cheers for Western Ears
    Thanks for the reply Griteater. So I guess that is why they say you should wait until within 48 hours until you really start trusting the NAM and not long range?
  25. Cheers for Western Ears
    I know that the NAM in the past has been relatively good with thermal profiles, but would you guys agree that the NAM has somewhat of a cold bias?
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