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Cheers for Western Ears

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Everything posted by Cheers for Western Ears

  1. Cheers for Western Ears

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Seems like the fv3 came a little north of the 18z. Not a bad look at this stage.
  2. Cheers for Western Ears

    February 2019 Observations

    Rain-Snow mix has now transitioned to mostly sleet and some light snow mixing in Clemmons.
  3. Cheers for Western Ears

    February 2019 Observations

    Rain-Snow mix here in Clemmons, NC. Just started mixing about 20 minutes ago. Was a drizzle before then.
  4. Cheers for Western Ears

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    How did the 12z op run look?
  5. Cheers for Western Ears

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    It is encouraging to continue to see support from both the GFS as well as the Fv3 (op runs that is) is the Euro still in agreement at all?
  6. Cheers for Western Ears

    Post Arctic front snow Tuesday, Jan 29

    Could you post a map?
  7. Cheers for Western Ears

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Where did you find this?
  8. Cheers for Western Ears

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Seems like the chances of some backside snow look better for NC folks as well. According to the 12z fv3 that is..
  9. Cheers for Western Ears

    January 12-13th Winter Storm Obs

    Care to post pics? Not seeing anything at my current location but I am quite a bit lower in elevation than you.
  10. Cheers for Western Ears

    January 12th-13th event

    Has anyone heard or received any reports on how the storm is doing out west so far? Under or over performing?
  11. Cheers for Western Ears

    January 12th-13th event

    When do you guys suppose they will start issuing advisories and warnings for the areas affected by the storm?
  12. Cheers for Western Ears

    January 12th-13th event

    Yea sorry I should have been more specific as to what I meant. I meant the fact that the model seemed to be rather low on moisture compared to the other global models.
  13. Cheers for Western Ears

    January 12th-13th event

    Yea, sorry I wasn't clear to what I was referring to. I was talking about both the fact that it seemed well north and seemed rather low on qpf.
  14. Cheers for Western Ears

    January 12th-13th event

    Is anyone concerned with what the Nam is showing? I realize it is well outside of it's range but still..
  15. Cheers for Western Ears

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    Wouldn't be surprised at all lol. What is your accumulation right now?
  16. Cheers for Western Ears

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    Nice! You're in a prime spot it sounds like. Would love to be on top of Howard's creek near the tater hill area right now. Im located more north. Towards laurel knob.
  17. Cheers for Western Ears

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    Snowing quite a bit in Todd. Fine flakes currently
  18. Cheers for Western Ears

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    In a good way or bad way precip wise?
  19. Cheers for Western Ears

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Do you guys expect the all too common nw trend to commence in the next day or so or are you guys fairly confident it will stay suppressed until show time?
  20. Cheers for Western Ears

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Grit, would you feel safe saying the mtns around boone/ashe could see over a foot realistically? Also are Temps a concern based off the latest models?
  21. Cheers for Western Ears

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Is it not a rarity to have so many models on board with a similar storm track at this point? I feel as if most of the time it is 2 vs. 2 or 3 vs. 1. I realize the fact that some solutions are warmer than others but they seem to all have a similar storm track (slider rather than cutter).
  22. Cheers for Western Ears

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Thanks for the reply Griteater. So I guess that is why they say you should wait until within 48 hours until you really start trusting the NAM and not long range?
  23. Cheers for Western Ears

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    I know that the NAM in the past has been relatively good with thermal profiles, but would you guys agree that the NAM has somewhat of a cold bias?
  24. Cheers for Western Ears

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Okay, Thanks. New to the forum so I appreciate the response.
  25. Cheers for Western Ears

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Even though the HP is somewhat weaker with this run of the GFS, it is a good sign that the HP is hanging back some and lower correct? I believe that is what is causing the run to be more suppressed compared to the 6z?
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