Do you guys expect the all too common nw trend to commence in the next day or so or are you guys fairly confident it will stay suppressed until show time?
Is it not a rarity to have so many models on board with a similar storm track at this point? I feel as if most of the time it is 2 vs. 2 or 3 vs. 1. I realize the fact that some solutions are warmer than others but they seem to all have a similar storm track (slider rather than cutter).
Thanks for the reply Griteater. So I guess that is why they say you should wait until within 48 hours until you really start trusting the NAM and not long range?
Even though the HP is somewhat weaker with this run of the GFS, it is a good sign that the HP is hanging back some and lower correct? I believe that is what is causing the run to be more suppressed compared to the 6z?