Thinksnow18

I had to laugh, and wonder about the sanity of the Buf NWS...in their discussion they mention two camps for Christmas, the GFS and...the GGEM...wait, what? Since the ?$&! Are we using the GGEM as a reference??? Did the euro go away? 2020...

Pure snow porn

Can anyone with knowledge about contour line thickness tell me what each one represents? I know the 540 line is basically the freezing line what would 534, 528 etc be???

I love the wording on this. I get the feeling by the time we get to Sunday night Monday you will see some verbiage from KBUF regarding a big lake effect event for next weekend

I believe, if memory serves me, this is the first time in 800 years they’re visible this close?

It will begin that way but there will be plenty of S/W rounding the PV over Hudson Bay to spray the LES around...I think in this scenario everyone gets a piece of the action

Nah this has legs. Of course they’re prosthetic ones that don’t fit right but they’re legs nonetheless!!!

This looks like weenie hut jr

I like the lake band setting up over central Erie...rain at first then to snow...

Well it is cold now and expected to be the coldest airmass of the season Christmas onward

Just peeked at the indicies and I love what they’re showing. PNA is positive (has been since end of November, maybe BW or someone can look at this for longevity) and is forecast by months end to go very positive again...NAO is slightly negative and is forecast to stay just that way for the next 16 days and the AO stays negative with some signs of very negative...the thing is all three began these trends right around meteorological winter and haven’t budged. We’ve seen this in past winters where what’s happening at the end of November early December stays that way the majority of the winter...could this be an indication these 3 indicies in the mean will stay where they’re at?

I’m not mad about that...the gfs otoh gives you the goods...we’re all fellow weenies...until you steal my snow...then it’s on...

It appears as we get to Xmas eve and Xmas day a real pattern change is in the offing. For the last 4 runs on the globals some kind of a front with a storm system attached bringing a white Xmas but it’s after that looks to be our first real LES outbreak upstate. Looking very cold with several S/W dropping out of Canada...could be interesting times ahead.

I just checked in with KROC and they said you received 24.6”...don’t argue just accept it...

It’s definitely something to keep an eye on but is awfully progressive, where the 00z from this am or the 12z yesterday showed a long lasting event.

And it’s on-a west wind...not favorable for 98% of the forum

That system on the 12z has vaporized

Yeah the euro is a blank canvas...nothing like this at all...in fact nothing at all after a cold frontal passage before Xmas...these models are really struggling

The models have already picked up on him leaving and have a storm earmarked for the entire CWA

My wife was in Albany in the early 2000’s for pharmacy school and said 5” crippled them...23 must be putting them into a panic

There is definitely a storm signal on all globals...question is what it will look like and where

I miss those days

Merely the meso banding from the storm. We can get those rates off Erie when it gets cranking and definitely off Ontario over the Tug.

On to Xmas in one weeks time and the Euro would bring the goods for a white Christmas with a storm moving up a front that passes us the day before, and behind it about 2 days later a SW lake event...only 40 more run s to go...

Finished at 3.1” as if this am. The totals in Binghamton are incredible. Great pictures from everyone downstate