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ams30721us

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by ams30721us

  1. Nothing to bang the drums about, but as a few others have mentioned, watching a few opportunities for some wintry mischief next week. The first period to keep an eye on is a quick moving disturbance Tuesday, that could at the very least spark off a few snow showers. The vort is really not that far off from something a bit bigger, but would need to drift a little more west as it digs Monday night. The second, more fun disturbance to watch could be the one towards the end of the week into the weekend. Again, nothing to shout from the rooftops yet, but hey it's a few things we have to watch in the coming days imo!
  2. Timing is going to be big as usual with this type of setup. The past few days, most models were delaying the onset of precipitation till during the day Friday, and into Saturday. Just noting the early 12z data today, has shifted back to an earlier onset, Thursday evening, leading to a colder/drier airmass, and allowing for a slightly better signal for some icy concerns by Friday morning. Also, the GFS seems to become quite amped up with an inland tracking surface low up closer to the Apps, while the other guidance is indicating a low tracking further east along the coast. In the end, this may not matter much as the high slides out during the day, Friday leading to a narrow window of opportunity. Just a few thoughts to monitor in the future trends.
  3. Yep, we had several large trees come down with the heavy, wet 1"-2" in Davenport this morning.
  4. Man...it is literally pouring snow currently in Davenport. Very low visibility, main roads starting to become snow covered, and at least 1/2 to 1 on the grass, and decks/patios now. Nice early treat for sure!
  5. Pad dem stats! lol We still have all of May Radar back in Oklahoma and Missouri looking nice this evening...
  6. 00z Hi-Res NAM and RAP starting to look a little more juicy again for areas back to the southwest too.
  7. Ha! Sounds about right. A literal nowcast, wait and see mode to how radar shapes up now.
  8. Pretty impressive that the Euro has been consistent the past few days with showing 2m temps in the low to mid 30s under whereever that band sets up the during the afternoon heating on Sunday. Then, Spring break just southeast.
  9. Well we still have 72 hours or so to see if these thermals hold, and where exactly that defo band looks to setup. 12Z Euro, fairly similar to its 00z counterpart from my quick glance.
  10. Yep, either the GFS is going to score a big coup or the NAM/EURO camp is going to nail a very decent wet snow event somewhere in eastern Iowa, or Illinois. Yikes!
  11. Only cause we still have a shot at breaking the all-time snowiest season ever, I will approve of this long range NAM post! Ha! At least the Euro is not the complete lonely outlier.
  12. What a nice little system. Didn’t even pay any attention to it until yesterday. Picked up some very nice rates overnight. A few totals from around the QC: Muscatine: 1.6”. MLI: 2.1”. DVN: 3.0”. Princeton 5.0”. Cambridge: 7.0” *Now Top 5 Snowiest seasons in the QC. Here’s a few picks I snapped around 4am:
  13. Uhm.. well hello, F-Gen band. Looks like folks a few miles on either side of the I-80 corridor has a chance to pick up a quick period of moderate to heavy snow tonight, as this compact clipper pivots across the region with some potential convective features.
  14. Wednesday morning may feature some pretty decent snowfall rates. Here in the QC we go from just trace amounts around midnight, to around 5 inches between midnight-6am w/ an additional inch or so after sunrise per the 00z Euro.
  15. Reposting because we picked up 5" of fresh pow pow, to get us within 2" of the top 5 snowiest Winters ever, and only about 12" away from the top spot with about two more systems on the way thru this weekend. Let it snow, Let it snow !
  16. Wow! Absolutely ripping snow right now! Easily the heaviest rates since the start of this event. Main roads quickly becoming snow covered again, and visibility is less than a 1/4 mile. This event has exceeded my expectations! This Winter is off da chain!
  17. This was actually after heaviest flakes move thru, by the time I got bundled up to go out to shoot! Just raining pancakes. 62E2A9F5-E6B7-4BB5-A7CE-186B90512472.MOV
  18. Yep, woke up and saw that first batch lifting north and got pretty nervous, but the radar has really blossomed over the past 1-2 hours. Much more optimistic for a 3"-5" event here!
  19. After suffering through all this winter weather recently, and sitting at 52.4" for the season, I'm all about getting a quick 17.4" more fluffy inches to have the all-time snowiest winter ever, along with the coldest temperature ever in the same season! Ha...So with that being said if we can land a quick 4-5" here, that would really help increase the chances of this actually occurring! I do like the faster start time, as models seem to have sped the system up a bit, with more of a nighttime/early Sunday morning event, locally.
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