Greg

Places like Mt. Carrigain come to mind also.

Get that One-Eyed Pig and turn it to bacon!Produce storms like my atvar shows

March as far as I'm concerned is still a winter month.  Your talking to a guy who measured 27" of snow normally (Without Snowboard) in one storm this past March and my location, based on true definition, is on the coast. So some of the comments are pure fluff, no punn intended. Boston itself still can snow from early December through March. It has been seen many times throughout the years. So I'm sort of curious, what and who's climo are people really using and comparing?

Actually, late developing Miller B's favor Eastern NNE.  They don't go trough us, they often stay offshore but get eastern Maine and Nova Scotia pretty damn good.

Agreed. The winter might end up directly between a weak and moderate but right now I still favor a weak one.

Listen guys, let's try to relax.  I looked at many of the analogs with what this weak El Nino favors.  First, December overall can range from 5-6" to 10-11" for the Boston area especially Logan International.  The real fun doesn't start until very late December into January troughout the winter.  Even the historical weak el Ninos don't show their cards until later.  So let's not go overboard.  Winter hasn't started yet at all.  What we have all now and seen is a bonus.

The 1997-1998 El nino was a strong one, This is a weak el nino so some of those years aren't good analogs to work with.

Got about 1.6 inches here.  Snow really struggled to accumulate.  But still a nice.  Some of the amounts in New Hampshire look a little high do to the snow board method but generally 3-5" with lolies to about 6-7".  Pretty tough to get this storm going.  Will said it best, too many competing atmospheric forces to get something real going.  Oh well, we wait for the next one.

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah any accumulating snow in November is pretty nice...nevermind snow on top of snow. Even if it's only minor.

 Strongly agree with this statement.

9 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Looks a little low, but not terrible. Eying it I think I’m already approaching 3”. 4-8” will probably verify broadly, away from the coast, with most areas at 5-6” sans Portland ME - east. Poor Ratios due to marginal temps are helping your forecast but the local precip max looks to be in our area. Appears to be good lift in the SGZ—seeing healthy looking aggregates. 1000 mb low doesn’t really get anyone excited but this little guy has more moisture to work with, with November SST’s, which may be contributing to the healthier looking radar returns despite the relatively feeble dynamics.

I think 3-6" will verify somewhat more broadly. The 7-8" looks hard to get to. The heaviest precip will mostly be south around the MA/NH/ southeast NH boarder.  Not saying break off banding can't occur where you are but looking at radar and latest HRRR seem to be on track for this right now..

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

HRRR did nice with the band around here. 

I just took a quick look at the latest HRRR like you did.  If it is correct and you look closely, you see a heavier echo developes from Worcester through Bedford to the Northshore.  If that developes, We can catch up.

18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I had an inch at my place when I left at 730am...it was a mess through west Boxford, where there were 2 spin outs off of the road...almost as if the chaos reached a zenith there, and then hit Boxford, and poof....mainly rainy tranquility.

Plain rain at work in Saugus...mom said that there is a coating in Wilmington, where its been snow since like 6am.

I agree.  Right now there's about a gloppy 0.3 inches right now.  It took a while of on and off mix but it's all snow now.  We'll see what we can get here.

Generally with the surface high in Quebec, the quicker that pushes the colder, thicker air southeast; the earlier we turn to accumulating snows. Simple as that. Also with a ever slightly southeast tick with the lows pressure center of course..

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

But the thing is....Wilmington is surrounded by towns with some decent hills, like Andover, Methuen, and even Burlington....but its just a moat there. lol

Shame on you for making fun of our fair town!

1 minute ago, geo1 said:

I got an average of 8” unfortunately I had to use a tape measure. I have the yard stick at work. Coming home tomorrow. With this beginning I think it will be used a lot hopefully. Pingers went back to snow so if we get any back end stuff could get higher.

8.3" here. Looks like we did quite alright!  Enjoy and have a great night.

Ok gentlemen, I hear or at least I think I hear some pingers or something like that. I'm going to measure one more time befor I go to bed.  I think the true accumulating snows are done so I want to see how much I got before it relly settles.

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

5.6”. Still snow.

Seriously? You by the waters edge coming it at about half a foot of snow.  Now that is truely an underforecast! Wow, enjoy my friend. Winter is now here.

2 minutes ago, geo1 said:

Wonder if we can reach double digits. Still coming down hard.

I will wait to measure this one last time before I go to bed but I can tell you based on my experience, that I may be closing in on 8" of snow on the glass table right now.

Just now, geo1 said:

What part of Wilmington you from again Greg?

Jacquith Road at the end of it.

Obviously at this rate 6-8" totals just outside of 128 are all possible now.

2 minutes ago, geo1 said:

Unbelievable this is nuts!

7.5" at least and still coming down.  Overperformer!

Just now, geo1 said:

Did you just see the thunder snow!!!

Absolutely!

Just saw lightning and heard thunder.

3 minutes ago, geo1 said:

Just in from the drive home from Boston 93N is a mess. I’d say 6” here and currently ripping. Can we get 8”?

I  had 5.6 over an hour ago.  I can go check to see what has fallen if you want.  Still snowing nicely.

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

5”

Ha! I knew it! You must be happy though. Congrates and it's still snowing..