JB Fins

Agree, once we hit the second week of March, I am ready for warmer temps. I have a feeling it will continue to be cold and wet until May and then straight into humidity hell. Hope I am wrong, give us an Ash Wednesday redux in March and then bring on spring a week later and some thunderstorms damn it and I will be a happy camper and think back on the winter fondly with bookend blockbusters.

Ugh, Dirty Slurpee, would be just the way to cap a season that once seemed to have such promise.

Eh, can't argue with them based on model output. Me thinks I got spoiled from the December blockbuster, now anything short of a warning criteria is just "meh" Timing will be tough for schools though, even though you get a switchover to rain, it likely doesn't clear everything up before your 2 hour delay option so I think Henrico and surrounding may have to make a call at 5AM tomorrow as not certain enough to make tonight although parents pressure about the 5AM wakeup from Jenks and blah, blah, blah, not enough time to plan may weigh in.

True. I am sure we can look back and probably correlate early snow for RIC is a bad sign for winter snow but it's probably so skewed because we have so many famine winters anyway. Fingers crossed but once it's March, I am sort of done and ready for spring. Easter is late this year so I am not going to turn down any snow but it's just not the same. Along the lines of spring, I am actually hoping we have a decent severe weather season as it has been a while since thunderstorms have been consistent in the spring to early summer.

We had our feast in December and it has been famine ever since. I would be happy with just one more warning criteria snow but time is running short and model inconsistency this winter has ebbed my hopes appropriately.

Never give up, never surrender! I can't let Ji have my snow! (stomps feet in tantrum)

Latest GFS has us in the jackpot zone. Still time to shift but a few more runs like that and I am hitting the ABC store to stock up for Sunday.

12/9 shifted in our favor late as I recall, don't like being in the bullseye this far out...we have seen this movie too many times before.

I thought 2" more would put us as the 2nd rainiest since records were kept, 1899 or 1897, one of those around that time, still too far out of reach.

It has been fun guys, hope the first of many. I measured 13" at Blueberry Hill Court, Forest at Patterson here in the 23229 at 8:10PM and then shoveled the walk. The airport reporting 11.5, it has to be the closest I have been with them on a major storm...since...well, ever!

At 10.5" at 5:30. Big, big hit.

9" here in Westham by UR, Forest and Patterson. So, that means 2.5 at the airport, right? Can't complain, waiting for the Xmas lights to come on now that I have cleared them all off. Great start to the season.

Hold that line Anthony!

Just got back looking for snow pants for the stepdaughter, main roads, Parham and Patterson caving quicker than I thought. We called it, now 1" on the grill! Moderate with bursts of heavy.

Light to Moderate here in the near West End. Traffic and brine combo keeping main roads passable. Secondary roads picking up light accumulations. 1/2 inch on the deck thus far.

Ah, the dreaded pings to rain scenario and back again. If only I weren't so familiar with it. Understood.

Yeah, with that tick north on the Euro, I expected the local mets to interrupt programming. Guess they are waiting until 6:00. Assume Wakefield is waiting for 2:00 but Henrico/RIC has to be watch material now.

Watches expanded north and east a little bit. We are still not in one but I am still drinking the Kool Aid.

I don't want to lose anything but it's nice when we and DC are in the game as they have great mets and hobbyists posting in the main thread (BobChill, psu, etc) but when they are on the outside looking in, the misery overtakes, and I completely understand it as it is usually us. Hope for a small enough shift to get them in the game but still have us jackpot.

Great storm rmcwahoo. I measured 11" out in Glen Allen. Absolutely puking snow that afternoon while playing Christmas music and wrapping presents.

Agree...still a long ways out, the key is there is a storm, of that we are sure and can track. We know it's going to tick N at some point, will it tick W enough to get us in the game.

Agree, I would take 4 - 5 inches in December and run! The question will be will the inevitable jog to the north occur early in the models or late, it always seems to. We get the congrats RIC, RIC in the bullseye, jackpot RIC, then it shifts and well, the rich get richer. Hoping for a solution that works for everybody. Let's see today if GFS starts creeping toward Euro solution.

The main thread is definitely worried about suppression, which would likely be a good thing for us. But, how many times have we seen the movie where RIC is in the bulls eye 96 hours out only to have it shift inevitably to the north? Fingers crossed for an event that affects us all but selfish as we are due...want something to fall and stick to enhance the holiday lights.

I heard a stat from one of NBC12's meteorologists that there have been more days with rain this year than not, over 50% of days. I can't remember hearing that one before. I thought 2003 was pretty rainy, year we had Isabel but that might have just been the summer. As much as I like storms, I am glad derechos and hurricanes did not find RIC this year given the soil situation. The tornado breakout was enough excitement to feed my severe weather itch this year.

Seems reasonable based on the model output I had seen in the main thread. It could be that some folks get on the higher end but the melting/compaction that occurs may lessen that total during the day Wednesday. Which leads me to an interesting thought that I will have to google...what is the official measurement for a snowstorm? For example, at RIC Airport, assume we have great snow rates during the night and hypothetically we get 4" of snow on the board and they check that measurement, if/when melting compaction occurs while it is still snowing and at the conclusion of the event is only 2", what is the accepted official total?