Kleimax

22 minutes ago, Ravens94 said:

Definitely a coastal low signature trying to form in NC

It's the Tony Pann coastal low

Noob question here please don’t roast me, but why do the higher elevations stay colder longer? I thought “cold air sinks” and “heat rises”, so shouldn’t the lower elevations stay colder than the mountains?

1 hour ago, midatlanticweather said:

The winter of ever delays! It feels like this may the case.

How about the 45 day Snow outlook.. I think maybe something is showing up on this in the southeast! We get that Nina split too! Painful. Reminds me or 2010 - 2011 season

Even Mexico gets more snow than we do 

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Allegany and Garrett County... Don't see that too often in Late November 

1 minute ago, turtlehurricane said:

Can you please post link to where you get cmc runs this early. Or at least pic of new forecast

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=watl&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2022092500&fh=0

 Got the shelf cloud coming in to east  Towson/ Loch Raven area. Windy once it blew through, Lots of rain, not much lightning or thunder though 

That outflow boundary was nice in Towson. The big storm went just north. Debris on the roads. Storm firing behind, warned in Caroll and Baltimore counties now

Interesting line firing up on the Bay

There’s some decent spin on that thing too!

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0230.html

Watch issued

HRRR & NAM have decent CAPE for tomorrow, definitely looking better

Snow depth maps ftw

Wind picking up in Timonium

They went WSW for PA counties that boarder MD

Severe T storm warning Fredrick carrol Baltimore, it mentions some hail <.75 inch 

Wow the 18z 3k is juuuiicceedd 

4 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 0Z ICON also shifted NW

The Icon rocks!

The ARWs are both NW pretty much in line with the 3k. So is the FV3. Finally getting a consensus amongst the models

I can’t wait to get rug pulled again 

They mentioned the threat had diminished and now it looks worse on the 3K lol 

Should we start a thread?

The New King has been dethroned 

Temps are already way warmer than the 3K nam had for our area at this time