Tarheel17
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Everything posted by Tarheel17
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Switched back to plain rain for me in Uptown Charlotte
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Rain mixing with sleet and wet flakes in Uptown Charlotte as of 10 minutes ago. Very raw out there.
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And here comes some last minute cliff jumping when it is nowcasting time.
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Can confirm this as well in Uptown.
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46/29 at the airport. 6 degrees above the hourly forecast...
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Up to 45 at the airport now.... at least the dew point is down below freezing.
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Currently 43/33 in Charlotte. 2 degrees above forecasted high, but would expect temps to drop quickly when precip starts.
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At least I have family I can visit in Michigan if this completely busts. I definitely feel for anyone entirely born and raised down this way.
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Sigh, getting the sinking feeling in the pit of my stomach I last had in Jan 2017 back near RDU.
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Ah, I see. I grew up as a kid in Michigan. Imagine how long of a fetch we could get going from Lake Michigan to Lake Norman for some lake effect.
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Will the urban heat island effect cause more convective feedback over Charlotte?
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Verbatim a warm nose sticks right up 77 into Charlotte.
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Wouldn't be surprised if the FV3 comes in a little colder since it's been trending that way vs. the GFS. This will be a good test to see if we truly have an improved model.
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Really want Charlotte to get to the lower 20's. I think we flirted with 29 briefly recently, but haven't had a deep freeze yet. Can't complain about this pattern overall though. So much nicer than 6 weeks ago.
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Would be interesting if they don't close our office for this in Charlotte, given that they did for 2 days for Florence (Meck co. schools were closed so many parents would be home anyways). My walk home on Thursday would be miserable. Of course wouldn't want to trade with the coast....
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Less than 9 days out, with seasonable lows showing up on the new GFS. Euro and CMC show tropical influence but also show a sharp cool-down in the same timeframe (8-10 days). Meanwhile I want to reel this one in from la-la land.
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I'm just going to choose to believe the FV3-GFS. Seems a little closer to the Euro through 10 days. Edit: 12z, not 18z.
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12z Euro seems to put the hold on fall as well. Tomorrow average lows are supposed to start to be in the 50's for Charlotte. We'll get there eventually.
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Fall is my favorite season. Looks like we don't get one until October this year.
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First rain started 40 minutes ago in Uptown Charlotte.
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If the 06z gfs is accurate we will be searching for fall for a very long time
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It might be a case of significant periods of dew points stuck right around 70 degrees which is sticky but not insanely so, rather than spiking into the mid-70's. That and the persistent rain and chance of tstorms.
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Once the Euro goes that far out on the free maps I expect it to disappear. In other news I have started seeing some slight color change on some trees while out on my runs. Also today is the first day with a sunrise after 7 am. The temps may not look like it but I am starting to feel like it is fall.
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Starting to see multiple chances in the very long run (>300 hours) in the GFS for a cooldown of some sort. Obviously not buying a single one of them, but it's at least an improvement and a sign that fall will eventually arrive.
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From Brad Panovich. Literally the most humid summer since 1971, if not ever, and it's not even close. Fall can't get here soon enough, but no end in sight in the medium-term.
