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MikeB_01

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Posts posted by MikeB_01

  1. Just now, Burghblizz said:

    Yinz are going to drive yourselves nuts clicking on hourly increments of hourly models for the 8 hours, and checking where the pretty colors line up. 

    I think E to W across central AGC will be the difference between 8 and 12 because of dry slot duration. And N to S along that axis will add or subtract ~2” from that range.

    Beaver /Lawrence/Butler certainly have a shot to pop a 15” total. 

    Clicking the hourly increments is what i live for lol

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  2. Actual 850 wind speeds. The actual speeds are showing 35kts where 55kts was forecasted. 

    332947025_ScreenShot2022-01-16at12_06_43AM.png.16724894ad21a16634bd11b6d4e598fa.png

     

    Less windspeed at the 850 = less wind to push the warm air in.

    Sorry about the multiple posts. I tried to fit all of the graphics in one post. I couldnt do it. 

     

    Overall point- there is some differences in the NAM 3K from the actual meso analysis in some key factors that i think will play an impact on our storm...

     

    Just some food for thought

  3. 4 minutes ago, Ruin said:

    Could you say that the cold air has snuck down a little farther south

    Also worth noting. Again, these are just some observations. The NAM (3K)which is our furthest west solution is struggle with certain key features only 4 hours off of its run time. 

    First the temperature. Temps are significantly colder than what the NAM (3K) modeled for 4z.

    Forecasted 4z                                                                           Actual 4z

    1409941777_ScreenShot2022-01-16at12_00_27AM.png.44589164501d6e912ab6d371091972bb.png1513923901_ScreenShot2022-01-16at12_01_39AM.png.5425154a2460663622c1cd0dea48c175.png

     

     

     

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