the_other_guy

I dont like the cutoff and I dont like that we keep moving that cutoff a few miles in each direction. This storm has lots of downside and not much upside for Riverhead west.

This! times a thousand

absolutely. Im in one of those areas. But most people in this forum are getting zero accumulating snow. And then we read about bad models. No. Just wishcasting. First storm is an elevation storm. Second storm is in the same spot it has been for days. Offshore.

This forum is talking itself into not one, but two accumulating events this weekend. Ill go out on a limb (and it isnt much of a limb) and say NYC will get exactly zero accumulating snow this weekend. The first storm will need elevation and cold. The second storm is the same grazer it has been for days.

Then with temps in the 30s, the city wants an after dark storm

If the HRRR has it (albeit long range) im tuned in

Right now it’s a grazer. You need a little bit more than that going west.

Well this week is out. I think we agree on that. Down to 12 days. I dont necessarily agree with the OP about no snowfall, but we are now into the second half of the game and we are down in the score

Monthly Departures through the first 1/3 of the month (1/11)EWR: +3.5ISP: +2.8NYC: +2.3JFK: +2.2TTN: +1.5LGA: +1.0 Is it cold thus far? And what is coming in the last 10 days that is going to pull it down? Because this week…its not looking like its pulling down these positive departures by a hell of a lot

You keep waiting on that cold. This is a warm January that no one on this board wanted to see. We are not waiting for a brief warm up to end. We are in a warm month waiting for a brief cool down. And that is a big difference in expectations

Snow squall!! 44F 42F 41F almost comical to watch twmpp

I think we do OK this season but it’s small ball. But yes, the season has totally changed its feel. As I said last week these extended warm-ups are winter killers.

Looks like NYC is not in that box… just saying

that last sentence is important and needs to be acknowledged more. these winters are warmer and with less snow than they would have been 20 years ago. 94-95 today could have been a shutout or single digit snowfall. The 2020s have the worst avg snowfall in recorded NYC history. Lets see if that changes

This extended warmth in January is what I call a winter killer. Basically a week straight of March. Awful. 47F. Feels good at least