TullyHeel

12z is the last one I see.

NAM is still warmer than all the others.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Raleigh NC 239 PM EST Thu Jan 9 2025 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>077-083>086-101000- /O.UPG.KRAH.WS.A.0001.250110T1800Z-250111T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KRAH.WS.W.0001.250110T1800Z-250111T1500Z/ Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance- Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham- Wake-Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Anson- Richmond-Scotland-Hoke- Including the cities of Kittrell, Cary, Hillsborough, Creedmoor, Nashville, Archdale, Southern Pines, Aberdeen, Laurinburg, Wilson, Camp Mackall, Wagram, Asheboro, Durham, High Point, Carrboro, Raeford, Henderson, Norlina, Rockingham, Apex, Siler City, Pittsboro, Rougemont, Chapel Hill, Franklinton, Lexington, Dunn, Wadesboro, Albemarle, Polkton, Knightdale, Buies Creek, Rocky Mount, Spring Hope, Raleigh, Troy, Winston-Salem, Greensboro, Princeville, Sanford, Roxboro, Carthage, Oxford, Mebane, Graham, Tarboro, Selma, Clayton, Burlington, Scotland Neck, Lillington, Louisburg, Thomasville, Wake Forest, Pinehurst, Erwin, Warrenton, Enfield, Angier, Smithfield, Roanoke Rapids, and Ellerbe 239 PM EST Thu Jan 9 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to three inches and ice accumulations up to two tenths of an inch. Highest snow accumulations are expected along the Virginia border. * WHERE...Most of central North Carolina. * WHEN...From 1 PM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order.

HRRR has it turning over to a mix and then rain before ending.

HRRR has the precip arriving in the Triangle around 7:00 tomorrow evening as rain and quickly changing to snow.

HRRR

Euro looked great for the Triangle. Looked like it kept the ice in extreme southern Wake and south of there.

That's how you know the storm is for real.

GFS also better than the NAM.

It's all the other short range models vs the NAM.

It, the HRRR and the RDPS all look good for us. The NAM is the only one that is concerning.

Looks more like the HRRR and RGEM.

Would be a gut punch if the NAM was right less than 36 hours out.

NAM seems to be like Patti Labelle and on its own.

NAM is even warmer now.

Feeling good for at least 2 inches of snow here to break the 3 year drought.

41 is when it starts to change to sleet and rain in Wake. Looks like we get about 6 hours of snow here before the changeover.

HRRR has it starting as rain here in Wake but changing to snow within an hour.

That always seems to be the case.

I see that one is from Tropical Tidbits and includes sleet. The one I was looking at is at Pivitol and I am assuming doesn't include sleet.

Is that the latest run? Maybe I was looking at the wrong one.