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ChrisBray

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About ChrisBray

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  • Location:
    Bourbonnais, IL

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  1. ChrisBray

    2018 Short to Medium Range Severe Thread

    As of now, the NAM has quite a nice setup for Tuesday around the quad cities area.
  2. ChrisBray

    2018 Short to Medium Range Severe Thread

    Starting to eye Iowa/MO/IL on Tuesday. Last few GFS/GEFS runs plus 12z euro have some nice parameters in place (40-50 knots bulk, 20knots LL shear, 3000ish SBCAPE)
  3. ChrisBray

    2018 Short to Medium Range Severe Thread

    Finally some signs of life this weekend. NAM likes saturday in Iowa, Sunday in Illinois. Let's see what happens.
  4. ChrisBray

    2018 Short to Medium Range Severe Thread

    I'm not going to cherry pick NAM soundings, but with a little help this could be a nice event. Good Cape/dews and sufficient shear. Kinda weak surface low, hopefully winds back more in the warm sector. Will definitely be out there!
  5. First NAM run for Saturday in range, and it actually agrees with 6z GFS with Iowa/MO having some impressive parameter space. (Yes, I realize its 84 hour nam, but this agreement at least gives something to watch for)
  6. Not enjoying the look of this one bit.
  7. ChrisBray

    2018 Short to Medium Range Severe Thread

    Take this FWIW but latest NAM has this around 25 miles south of Valpo on Wednesday evening Will be interesting to see if NAM keeps trending out of Illinois for this event. Low levels look amazing, its upper levels and bulk shear that aren't so hot.
  8. ChrisBray

    May 1-4 Severe Threats

    Still sitting here at home. Thought I was gonna bite on this, but now considering staying put. SRH looks horrible and won't get much better over the next few hours.
  9. ChrisBray

    May 1-4 Severe Threats

    Just realized you made a thread for this, sorry. I should have been posting here. I might have to bite today. NAM3k trolling me
  10. Hope you all are enjoying this week. Looking bleak for the foreseeable future.
  11. ChrisBray

    2018 Short to Medium Range Severe Thread

    Regarding Today, it is interesting the SPC has that 5% tornado extended way across Illinois, but yet they don't really address the storms that pretty much every model fires across E IA/W IL this afternoon. Based on the wind profiles I am seeing, I have to imagine that percentage is based on the overnight squall line that fires in Kansas today?
  12. ChrisBray

    2018 Short to Medium Range Severe Thread

    Been eyeing N IL/E IA for some possible warm front action, but NAM is very inconsistent with Euro and other CAMs in regards to what exactly will happen. Looks like overall there are some nice parameters in place, but week surface pattern and possible height rises due to wave timing have me concered.
  13. ChrisBray

    HAARP

    https://www.metabunk.org/debunked-patents-as-evidence-of-chemtrails-geoengineering-existence-operability-or-intent.t3704/page-2#post-213606 Please read more.
  14. ChrisBray

    June 28-30 Severe/Heavy Rain Threats

    Additionally, here is a picture I took of it.
  15. ChrisBray

    June 28-30 Severe/Heavy Rain Threats

    I too chased and caught the Central City, Iowa tornado on wednesday. Here are my videos:
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