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ConvectiveIA

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Everything posted by ConvectiveIA

  1. ConvectiveIA
    I don’t know entirely but the future radar prediction tool on the weather channel is coming in looking really north. I have to wonder if that tool uses up to date modeling or how it is generated. But my hopes are up for you and Hawkeye.
  2. ConvectiveIA
    18z looks terrible for dsm showing the system literally ducking under the city to go around it. My hope is that the system can somehow deepen and do something that causes it to head a little more due east then pummel Chicago with snow on its way out. I just don’t understand how it can do the limbo right under Des Moines
  3. ConvectiveIA
    I can’t tell if the 12z euro placement of the low yields any QPF for us.
  4. ConvectiveIA
    That euro appears to have gone north for us here
  5. ConvectiveIA
    12z RGEM comes in a little bit south but still suggests a heavy dusting to a few inches where most of the Iowa posters including myself are located
  6. ConvectiveIA
    Still enough juice on the NAM 6z to give us an inch and a half. I’ll take it!
  7. ConvectiveIA
    I shall go down with this ship. I raise my white flag and cry as she lists to the side and sinks below the surface.
  8. ConvectiveIA
    Euro. 1-3 inches in linn county on this run? Does that mean we still get a couple inches in DSM too? If so, that means for central IA, euro ticked north. It had us at just about nothing at 12z. Given the curve of the system as it is depicted on models tunneling through southern IA, 1-3 inches in Haiwatha means 1-3 here
  9. ConvectiveIA
    Ladies and gentlemen the real question we have to ask ourself, is Why. Why did the GFS place itself as an extreme southerly outlier yesterday, and then take a polar opposite and become an extreme northwesterly outlier? Why did the other models do a flip flop meanwhile? Why?
  10. ConvectiveIA
    As I reca the GFS-FV3 was not available until this year, at least not on pivotal. Does this make it a more advanced and higher tech model?
  11. ConvectiveIA
    Thank you! I use pivotal weather so all this time I’ve wondered... where are all these other models!
  12. ConvectiveIA
    What about the RDPS? That’s coming in in the middle for IA, but taking a more northward direction for areas east, most of this sub. The RDPS seems like it would be believable for ia but too far north for Chicago’s outcome
  13. ConvectiveIA
    Heck the 18z euro gives us an inch, but the 00z GFS gives us 13 inches!!!
  14. ConvectiveIA
    DSM NWS forecast discussion out, they’re favoring the NAM and Euro, citing the Euro being most consistent model for this the last several runs. This means a more southeastern track with DSM getting an inch or two of snow. But the 18z GFS does not agree with that all, but it has been less consistent. But did I read they were forced to use outdated model runs in their forecast due to an outage?
  15. ConvectiveIA
    The 18z NAM is also a lot weaker over Iowa, but considerably further north than the 12z
  16. ConvectiveIA
    This is very exciting and edge of seat. Populated areas of Iowa are back in the game! With this new gfs run I now feel confident we will get something here even if it’s just a few inches
  17. ConvectiveIA
    This is an evil outcome after the solutions being offered to us for the past few days. I feel burned in DSM
  18. ConvectiveIA
    This 00 NAM came in too far south for comfort. We are now on the edge but within the heavier snow. I think it might trend se and leave ya bare
  19. ConvectiveIA
    Looks like we might get a few good inches out of that if the trend holds
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