The quickest way to determine that is to eyeball trends, and whether or not you're still in the game is looking at all of the trends in the ensembles. Here are all of the runs yesterday and today:
GFS
ECMWF
CMC
Overall, it seems like the models are convering on the low tracking from IL into MI. The models will keep bouncing around within that region until we get a better handle on upstream features, but I don't personally expect massive jumps at this point.