Just need recon to beat the ERC. Nobody should expect to wake up tomorrow morning to the present eyewall situation. Couple good passes then let this thing implode from its own wild energy.
It could be 180 and above 900...low latitude and a 5nm RMW. I’m excited. We’ll all see soon. I still think it can and will get better and just don’t want to shoot my wad yet.
Everyone relax and act like you’ve done this before.
Its a five but probably not nuclear five. That CDO still could have more symmetry and the eye is still improving. Go back and look at Haiyan and Patricia before you disrespect the greats with absurd guesses.
Damn bro. I’ll be excited if that’s the case but it’s just so hard to get to that level that I’d never predict that in an Atlantic storm that isn’t an obvious Wilma.
People were talking WPAC earlier today but to me this screams SWIO, just flipped. It looks like the type of system that should be in the Mozambique Channel.
You can stare at this all day but I see the collapse of a nano sized eyewall and the emergence of merely a micro sized eyewall. But maybe that’s just me seeing what I want to see...
I’d like to see this chart but only storms where we have in situ observations at both beginning and end. Because it seems to me this record keeps being broken by storms with estimated values at one end or the other.
Conservative estimates can be justified. I’ve seen beautiful small eyed storms with surprisingly weak winds too. Not saying this is necessarily the case, but here’s an example.
This storm was a cat 2 at its peak: