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the ghost of leroy

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Everything posted by the ghost of leroy

  1. we really dont deserve this and goni in the same week
  2. Just need recon to beat the ERC. Nobody should expect to wake up tomorrow morning to the present eyewall situation. Couple good passes then let this thing implode from its own wild energy.
  3. #2 season of all time. It’s earned it. The Greek storms have really carried.
  4. All us 920’ers need to jump ship. Team #hypercane
  5. you know shits getting weird when you have a 35 keys level storm in November
  6. It could be 180 and above 900...low latitude and a 5nm RMW. I’m excited. We’ll all see soon. I still think it can and will get better and just don’t want to shoot my wad yet.
  7. Everyone relax and act like you’ve done this before. Its a five but probably not nuclear five. That CDO still could have more symmetry and the eye is still improving. Go back and look at Haiyan and Patricia before you disrespect the greats with absurd guesses.
  8. Put this one in the spank bank. You won’t find a more hilarious radar grab from a microcane ever.
  9. Damn bro. I’ll be excited if that’s the case but it’s just so hard to get to that level that I’d never predict that in an Atlantic storm that isn’t an obvious Wilma.
  10. I think 920 is more reasonable than 905 given how small it is.
  11. People were talking WPAC earlier today but to me this screams SWIO, just flipped. It looks like the type of system that should be in the Mozambique Channel.
  12. You can stare at this all day but I see the collapse of a nano sized eyewall and the emergence of merely a micro sized eyewall. But maybe that’s just me seeing what I want to see...
  13. Those are just extreme thunderstorms with very high tops
  14. Yeah. If it was going through an ERC a more perfectly round and stable looking eye seems to be emerging. It’s still hella small though.
  15. I’m sure Ryan Maue will make sure recon is funded better in the future.
  16. Tomer is the guy who got drunk off of one beer at AMS, right?
  17. I’d like to see this chart but only storms where we have in situ observations at both beginning and end. Because it seems to me this record keeps being broken by storms with estimated values at one end or the other.
  18. Looks better in pink for sure. I think it’s still a little bit sheared but otherwise it’s hard to nitpick.
  19. Conservative estimates can be justified. I’ve seen beautiful small eyed storms with surprisingly weak winds too. Not saying this is necessarily the case, but here’s an example. This storm was a cat 2 at its peak:
  20. Nice presentation. I could see 135kts but it still has a level to climb. More axisymmetrization, colder tops, warmer eye.
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