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BGM Blizzard

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  1. BGM Blizzard
    Northern Oneida also
  2. BGM Blizzard
    Yeah that WWA is for the ice potential otherwise there would be nothing issued for just 2-4". Though that said, if it was 100% snow and no ice there probably would be more than 2-4" as some of the models are showing.
  3. BGM Blizzard
    Tomboland...
  4. BGM Blizzard
  5. BGM Blizzard
    Peaks of sun have broken thru here and temp is up to 53. Has an early spring day feel to it. That D7 system better pan out.
  6. BGM Blizzard
    UK is shredded wheat east of Chicago
  7. BGM Blizzard
    NBM
  8. BGM Blizzard
    No-go on the NAM still. Fwiw... Cleveland chucked it aside with their early AM update last night.
  9. BGM Blizzard
    Definitely seems to be a weakening trend in the models the past 24-36 hours. Snowfall projections upstream near and east of Chicago across MI have really dropped off as the energy gets sheared out coming across the upper midwest. That would seem to play favorably for W and N NY snowfall chances.
  10. BGM Blizzard
    0z EPS for this weekend
  11. BGM Blizzard
    6z Euro
  12. BGM Blizzard
  13. BGM Blizzard
    @BuffaloWeather
  14. BGM Blizzard
    0z NBM 12z
  15. BGM Blizzard
    Just eyeballing, it cut back on snow amounts by roughly 30-50% across WNY from the 18z run but at least it's something lol. 18z 0z
  16. BGM Blizzard
    Don't take the bait Dave...
  17. BGM Blizzard
    Lol yeah... National Blend of Models. I had to Google to see what it was. I've seen the NWS discussions citing it quite a bit the past few years. Apparently it's a melting pot of all the various operational and ensembles but I'm not sure what the weighting system is. The latest version 4.0 from October 2020 now includes the Euro and EPS. https://luckgrib.com/models/nbm_conus/
  18. BGM Blizzard
    12z NBM
  19. BGM Blizzard
    EPS also backing the Operational run pretty closely.
  20. BGM Blizzard
    Euro is locked in. 6z run unchanged from previous runs. Far NNY and possibly some of the Niagara area might get scraped but for the rest of us... Next.
  21. BGM Blizzard
    Fwiw... the Canadian Ensemble mean is alot more favorable than the Op run with more of a W to E axis.
  22. BGM Blizzard
    UK not looking too good either outside of NNY and maybe some scraps invof LO south shore. GFS looking like an outlier all the way around.
  23. BGM Blizzard
    0z GEFS mean is a bit improved from 18z especially from finger lakes westward but still alot of duds.
  24. BGM Blizzard
    Interesting GFS run to say the least. Might have to stay up the Euro tonight.
  25. BGM Blizzard
    18z Euro was essentially same as 12z and seems to be near locked in.
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