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Warm Nose

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Everything posted by Warm Nose

  1. Warm Nose
    Literally EVERYTHING was trending well for this and then we get enough crap thermals that it wrecks the setup. Just one of those years I guess. There will (hopefully) be years where we go the other way and score more often. Based on the last couple years just happy to have a chance ... that's moving in the right direction.
  2. Warm Nose
    Back edge is haulin a$$ and should be here within the hour
  3. Warm Nose
    Pretty sure any chrome surfaces on cars are going to be stripped at this rate 24.1/17.2 HEAVY IP++
  4. Warm Nose
    Paint-peeling sleet 23.9/17.1
  5. Warm Nose
    Heavy IP mix now. Prob 70/30 sleet/snow and flipping quickly to all sleet
  6. Warm Nose
    23.5/17.1 and all SN
  7. Warm Nose
    Sleet bomb here, and I'm at 800 feet. SN just not in the cards for this one.
  8. Warm Nose
    Interested what's 'historic' about this storm other than it'll be 'history' in about 36 hours?
  9. Warm Nose
    Sounds like what we thought - a quick thump then followed by a paint-peeling sleet bomb. This was never an all SN event.
  10. Warm Nose
  11. Warm Nose
    Basically consensus is there isn't consensus yet.
  12. Warm Nose
    Agree - hard to go against historical climo. Not saying it can't and doesn't happen, but the times where it does are far fewer than the other direction. Favorable areas are that for a reason.
  13. Warm Nose
    32.0/4.8 and mostly clear skies, high clouds
  14. Warm Nose
    Let's discuss nowcasting. The radar in the deep south isn't what was modeled, correct? That will have an affect as models consume that info.
  15. Warm Nose
    Seems to be haulin' ass though which is going to cut down the QPF
  16. Warm Nose
    Seems pretty clear we are heading for a 4-6 event give or take depending on your locale. Which honestly is probably close to what will verify.
  17. Warm Nose
    I'm not worried. I'm colder than progged, there's moisture on the way and I'm in an area that historically does better with storms. I am right against the BR so typically we get some mixing albeit much less than the metros. I expect nothing different this time around. 4" is my bar with some crunchy ice on top as the finisher.
  18. Warm Nose
    Forecast for 30, might not make that 26.2/1.0
  19. Warm Nose
    Don't. Do. It.
  20. Warm Nose
    We're never 'safe' in this area. It's just the reality that to score big we will always be flirting with disaster* *(c) Molly Hatchet
  21. Warm Nose
    That's worse out this way. Not complaining since it likely factors in an anticipated flip E of the BR which is typically climo.
  22. Warm Nose
    The rates on the thump are gonna be pretty nice.
  23. Warm Nose
    This could be this kind of storm
  24. Warm Nose
    Given where we were on this three days ago not a bad spot to be in at this point. Thermals seem to be the concern, not QPF but what else is new. Gotta live on the edge to get the goods around here.
  25. Warm Nose
    You said you weren't falling for it again and that we could take the snow split to the bank. So why does QPF matter to you?
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