Warm Nose

Just measured a very legit 3.25" here and still coming down, though rates have eased a bit.

Some pretty nice rates

Moderate light snow TV here now.

32 here, radar returns are showing precip but all virga at this point. EDIT: very fine pixie dust but nothing of substance

By comeback, you mean you're going to Houston, right?

I think fair to inject the phrase "trash model" at this point ...

"Good signal" one week out - what can go wrong?!

No, lol

Fail to the very end. Impressive.

We should start to see some of the western areas get their Warnings dropped (Clarke, W. Loudoun, N. Prince William)

Looks like I'll end up with barely an inch of actual accumulation. I'm gonna go ahead and say that was well under the forecast.

Norlun or not, I can't see that verifying for the reason PSU brought up. Not enough moisture to get anywhere near those totals.

It's all nothing out here, actually. No precip.

Looks like we'll sit this one out. Might see a dusting out here if we're lucky, just not our storm, it happens. Bring on Spring.

Lotta white rain and 34 here. Not shocking.

Look to radars and not the model to figure out where it really is

34, only rain at 800’ here in Western Loudoun.

Anyone who says with any surety they know where the Norlun is gonna set up is lying.

MDZ003-004-503-VAZ031-505-506-WVZ051>053-221115- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0003.260222T2000Z-260223T1500Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Northwest Montgomery-Clarke-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- 1003 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 6 inches. For elevations above 1000 feet, snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches are expected. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central and north central Maryland, northern and northwest Virginia, and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From 3 PM Sunday to 10 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.

IVT is pretty much exactly where it's been modeled in previous runs, just narrower.

I'll buy you a ticket to Houston.

Norluns form somewhere along the collision of NW winds from the LP and the east/SE winds. It's tough to know where the rising motion zone will set up but it's generally along the shifting winds along the northwest side of the LP.

The unreleased version of the Euro shows the storm more NW than the current ops model.