janetjanet998

Macon MS debris falling out of the sky

andy gabrileosn had a large funnel and a vortex spin off then I lost the signal

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0211 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

VALID 272000Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTN AND EVE ACROSS

PARTS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN

ALABAMA...NORTHWEST GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN TENNESSEE...

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK

AREA....ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA AND

NORTHERN GEORGIA...THE WESTERN

CAROLINAS...TENNESSEE...KENTUCKY...SOUTHEASTERN

INDIANA...OHIO...PARTS OF WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND WEST VIRGINIA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK

AREA...ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S....

..20Z OUTLOOK UPDATE

...A DANGEROUS OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADOES APPEARS

UNDERWAY...AND CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT THIS WILL EXPAND

NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF STATES THROUGH MUCH OF THE OHIO VALLEY LATE

THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

REMNANTS OF THE MORNING MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM AND ITS

ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD POOL...JUST EAST OF UPPER PORTIONS OF THE

LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...REMAIN A

COMPLICATING FACTOR CONCERNING CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. HOWEVER...

LATEST OBSERVATIONAL DATA SUGGEST THAT THE COLD POOL MAY BE IN THE

PROCESS OF WEAKENING. AND BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTENING ASSOCIATED WITH

THE PRECEDING RAINFALL...COUPLED WITH LATE AFTERNOON INSOLATION AND

MODIFYING LOW-LEVEL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG

DYNAMIC FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION...PROBABLY WILL

CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION TO JUSTIFY EXPANDING

MODERATE RISK SEVERE PROBABILITIES NORTHWESTWARD AND NORTHWARD

THROUGH MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE OHIO VALLEY.

MODEL GUIDANCE...INCLUDING THE LATEST RUC AND 12Z ECMWF...INDICATE

THAT A DEEP SURFACE CYCLONE WILL DEEPEN FURTHER AS IT MIGRATES

NORTHWARD OUT OF THE OZARK PLATEAU...ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY

...INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND

TONIGHT. THIS WILL ACCOMPANY A VIGOROUS MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE

IMPULSE...WHICH IS PROGGED TO CONTRIBUTE TO STRONG MID-LEVEL HEIGHT

FALLS CENTERED ALONG THE OHIO RIVER...FROM NEAR ITS CONFLUENCE WITH

THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER INTO THE CINCINNATI OH AREA BETWEEN 28/00-06Z.

A 50-70 KT 850 MB JET APPEAR LIKELY TO DEVELOP NORTHWARD TO THE

WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS...AS A 100 KT 500 MB JET STREAK NOSES

NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS KENTUCKY AND TENNESSEE INTO OHIO BY LATE THIS

EVENING...CONTRIBUTING TO STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF BOTH

LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS AND ORGANIZED STORM CLUSTERS. GIVEN AT LEAST

WEAK BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION... STRONG TORNADOES APPEAR

POSSIBLE...IN ADDITION TO THE RISK FOR STRONG /STRAIGHT LINE/

DAMAGING CONVECTIVE GUSTS.

..KERR.. 04/27/2011

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN

200 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

MSC013-057-071-081-115-117-139-145-161-271930-

/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0115.000000T0000Z-110427T1930Z/

TIPPAH MS-PRENTISS MS-UNION MS-LAFAYETTE MS-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA MS-

PONTOTOC MS-YALOBUSHA MS-CALHOUN MS-

200 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT FOR

NORTHWESTERN CALHOUN...NORTHEASTERN YALOBUSHA...PONTOTOC...

NORTHWESTERN ITAWAMBA...NORTHERN LEE...SOUTHERN LAFAYETTE...UNION...

WESTERN PRENTISS AND SOUTHEASTERN TIPPAH COUNTIES...

AT 140 PM CDT...FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE GROUND

NEAR COUNTY ROAD 369 AND COUNTY ROAD 469 IN SOUTHERN LAFAYETTE

COUNTY.

Also some serious discrete cells appear to be firing up in northern AR now...

was just looking at those.may be "cold core" low top mini Sups

temp/dew 62/58 while 500mb -18ish

There are many people without power over MS and AL still and a EOC tower got blown down too..no way to warn..I'm sure some tornado sirens may be out too

stroms along the mS river are on a confluent zone where SW winds hit SE winds ....behind it still warm and humid ahaed of the front...so as usual a line may form along the front with tornadic supoercells well in advance

some more suspect storm reports from this morning for BHM metro'

0507 AM TSTM WND DMG BERRY 33.66N 87.61W

04/27/2011 FAYETTE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND STRUCTURE DAMAGE INCLUDING THE

ELEMENTARY SCHOOL. 30 TO 40 STRUCTURES DAMAGE. MAINLY

ROOF DAMAGE. AT LEASE 2 MOBILE HOMES DESTROYED. NO

INJURIES.

0525 AM TSTM WND DMG COALING 33.16N 87.34W

04/27/2011 TUSCALOOSA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES AND STRUCTURES DAMAGED IN THE COALING

AREA. AT LEAST 30 HOME DAMAGED, 15 OF THOSE HEAVILY

DAMAGED AND POTENTIALLY UNINHABITABLE. SEVERAL INJURIES

BUT NO DETAILS AT THIS TIME.

Huntsville metro

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL

1141 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

EAST CENTRAL LIMESTONE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...

CENTRAL MADISON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...

WEST CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 1215 PM CDT

* AT 1141 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS

TRACKING A CONFIRMED TORNADO NEAR CAPSHAW...OR ABOUT 6 MILES

NORTHWEST OF MADISON...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE...

HUNTSVILLE.

NORMAL.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL

1130 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHEASTERN LIMESTONE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...

SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...

NORTHERN MORGAN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL NOON CDT

* AT 1130 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR

DECATUR...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

ALC083-089-103-271700-

/O.CON.KHUN.TO.W.0056.000000T0000Z-110427T1700Z/

MORGAN AL-LIMESTONE AL-MADISON AL-

1137 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT FOR

SOUTHWESTERN MADISON...SOUTHEASTERN LIMESTONE AND NORTHEASTERN MORGAN

COUNTIES...

AT 1137 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS

TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BELLE MINA...OR ABOUT 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF

DECATUR...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

yikes

..THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF MS...AL

TN

AND GA......

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF

MS...AL...TN...KY...WRN VA...WRN NC...WRN SC...NRN GA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID-MS

VALLEY...CNTRL TO ERN GULF COAST STATES...TN VALLEY...OH

VALLEY...CNTRL TO SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS...CAROLINAS...MID-ATLANTIC

AND NERN STATES...

...MAJOR TORNADO OUTBREAK EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS

THE TN VALLEY AND SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS EXTENDING NWD INTO THE SRN OH

VALLEY...

..TN VALLEY/SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS AND SRN OH VALLEY

A VIGOROUS UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE OZARKS TODAY AS A

POWERFUL MID-LEVEL JET ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AND NOSES INTO

THE OH AND TN VALLEYS. AT THE SFC... A LOW WILL MOVE QUICKLY NEWD

ACROSS THE MID-MS VALLEY AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS TRANSPORTED NNEWD

ACROSS THE OH AND TN VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON. MODERATE

DESTABILIZATION IS ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND

THIS AIR MASS SHOULD MOVE NEWD INTO THE MODERATE AND HIGH RISK AREAS

BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS ALONG WITH

STRONG SHEAR PROFILES IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVELS WILL BE VERY

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON AND

EVENING. THIS SYSTEM IS VERY ORGANIZED AND CONFIDENCE IS HIGH

REGARDING THE POTENTIAL FOR A MAJOR TORNADO OUTBREAK THIS AFTERNOON

AND EVENING ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF COAST STATES AND TN VALLEY

EXTENDING NWD INTO THE SRN OH VALLEY.

CONCERNING THE CURRENT SETUP...A LARGE MCS IS ONGOING ACROSS THE TN

VALLEY. THIS CONVECTIVE SYSTEM IS TIMED TO MOVE INTO ERN TN AND NW

GA BY 21Z. MESOANALYSIS SHOWS A RESERVOIR OF MODERATE INSTABILITY

FROM LA EXTENDING EWD ACROSS SCNTRL MS WHERE MLCAPE VALUES ARE

ESTIMATED IN THE 2000 TO 3000 J/KG RANGE. THIS MODERATE INSTABILITY

SHOULD BE TRANSPORTED NEWD INTO THE HIGH RISK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS

THE MCS EXITS THE REGION TO THE EAST. AS THE THERMODYNAMIC SETUP

IMPROVES...THE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WILL ALSO RAPIDLY BECOME MORE

FAVORABLE AS THE NOSE OF A 80 TO 100 KT MID-LEVEL JET EJECTS EWD

ACROSS THE REGION AND INTERACTS WITH A WELL-DEVELOPED LOW-LEVEL JET.

THIS WILL CREATE LARGE LOOPING HODOGRAPHS FROM ERN MS AND NCNTRL AL

NWD INTO SRN TN. 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITIES IN THE 450 TO 600

M2/S2 RANGE SHOULD BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS. THE

CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE GREATEST TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL EXIST

LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING FROM COLUMBUS MS EWD TO

BIRMINGHAM AND HUNTSVILLE AL. THIS AREA IS CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE

ONGOING MCS WHERE DESTABILIZATION SHOULD BE MOST FAVORABLE. AS

SUPERCELLS INITIATE IN ERN MS AND TRACK ENEWD ACROSS THE HIGH RISK

AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON...A TORNADO OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED. A FEW

LONG-TRACK STRONG TORNADOES AND POSSIBLY A VIOLENT TORNADO OR TWO

MAY OCCUR AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS EARLY THIS EVENING. HAVE

ADDED A 45 PERCENT SIG-TOR AREA WHERE CONFIDENCE IS THE HIGHEST

CONCERNING THE POTENTIAL FOR LONG-TRACK TORNADOES. LARGE HAIL AND

WIND DAMAGE WILL ALSO BE LIKELY WITH SUPERCELLS THAT DEVELOP.

FURTHER TO THE NORTH ACROSS MIDDLE TN IN WCNTRL KY...THE ONGOING MCS

IS HAMPERING DESTABILIZATION. HOWEVER...AS THE MID-LEVEL JET NOSES

INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST...THE MODERATE INSTABILITY IN NRN LA

AND SRN AR IS EXPECTED TO ADVECT QUICKLY NNEWD ACROSS WCNTRL TN AND

WCNTRL KY BETWEEN THE EXITING MCS AND A CLUSTER OF STORMS IN NW AR

AND SRN MO. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE MOIST AXIS TO BE LOCATED FROM WEST

OF NASHVILLE NEWD TO NEAR LOUISVILLE WHERE NUMEROUS SFC-BASED

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INITIATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE

LOW-LEVEL JET AND MID-LEVEL JET ARE FORECAST TO BE JUXTAPOSED ACROSS

THIS CORRIDOR SUGGESTING SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR

SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES EVEN IF DESTABILIZATION IS NOT AS GREAT AS

IS EXPECTED. THE CURRENT THINKING IS THAT A BROKEN LINE OF TORNADIC

SUPERCELLS WILL INITIATE ALONG THE WRN EDGE OF THE MODERATE RISK

AREA AND TRACK EWD ACROSS CNTRL KY AND MIDDLE TN EARLY THIS EVENING.

THE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES

AND A FEW LONG-TRACK STRONG TORNADOES MAY OCCUR. THE MODERATE RISK

AREA HAS BEEN EXTENDED WWD ACROSS PARTS OF MIDDLE TN AND CNTRL KY TO

ACCOUNT FOR THIS POSSIBILITY. LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WILL ALSO

BE POSSIBLE WITH SUPERCELLS THAT DEVELOP.

AS A BROKEN LINE OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS MOVES EWD ACROSS THE HIGH

AND MODERATE RISK AREAS THIS EVENING...A TRANSITION TO MORE OF A

WIND DAMAGE THREAT MAY OCCUR AS THE LINE CONGEALS AND BOWING

LINE-SEGMENTS DEVELOP. AN ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE THREAT SHOULD EXIST

AS FAR EAST AS WRN VA ...WRN NC AND WRN SC DURING THE LATE EVENING

HOURS WHEN A LARGE MCS MOVES INTO THE SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS. THE

TORNADO THREAT MAY SHIFT SWD LATE THIS EVENING INTO NRN GA WHERE THE

STORMS MAY TEND TO REMAIN DISCRETE.

..CNTRL TO NRN APPALACHIAN MTNS/CAROLINAS/ERN GULF COAST STATES

THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL STATES WILL MOVE INTO THE MS

VALLEY THIS EVENING AS A POWERFUL MID-LEVEL JET EJECTS NEWD OUT OF

THE BASE OF THE TROUGH. THE EXIT REGION OF THE MID-LEVEL JET WILL

MOVE INTO THE CNTRL APPALACHIAN MTNS AND ERN GREAT LAKES WHERE DEEP

LAYER SHEAR PROFILES WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS

TONIGHT. ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE JET AXIS...A LINE OF STRONG

THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED FROM ERN OH EXTENDING SWD

INTO FAR WRN SC AROUND 06Z. THIS LINE SHOULD MOVE EWD ACROSS

NY...PA...VA...NC AND SC WHERE A WIND DAMAGE THREAT SHOULD EXIST DUE

TO STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW. AN ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE THREAT COULD EXIST

ACROSS VA AND WRN CAROLINAS WHERE THE MODELS DEVELOP MODERATE

INSTABILITY AFTER 06Z.

..BROYLES/GARNER.. 04/27/2011

hello there 45% tor contour

i wonder what they need to get a red becuase these are the best parameters i have ever seen?

I see they epanded the nMOD risk more north too with hatched tornado

Hopefully we dont get fatalities like then. But like I said even if we even a third or a quarter of the strong/violent EF3+ tornadoes like we did in the Superoutbreak of 1974 it could be quite catastrophic. 1974 had 35 F3's, 24 F4's, and 6 F5's. Imagine getting 8-12 EF3 tornadoes, 5-8 violent EF4 tornadoes, and 1-2 violent EF5 tornadoes today. IMO that could be a major disaster waiting to happen.

I doubt if those tornadoes were rated today they would be rated that high(at least some of them since they tend to be conservative these days) anyway we can save that debate for a slow winter day. Also no outbreak is the same. This one will cover from TX all the way into GA maybe and north into TN..with scattered reports likley in the OH valley and Northeast

for those of you who missed it go back and look at the radar at 2-3am over MS last night......wow

Seeing how things have initiated this morning, it's clear today's outbreak will be a far cry from the Super Outbreak of 1974...as the vast majority of posters suspected.

if you say so

already dozens of tornadoes last evening and overnight..mulitple fatalities

over 50 prelims now but many more will be added too

the outbreak continues

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS

1051 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADO OUTBREAK EXPECTED THIS

AFTERNOON...

UPDATE

NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED WITH OUR THINKING AND THE OVERALL

EVOLUTION FOR TODAY. HOWEVER...THE DETAILS ARE BECOMING A BIT MORE

CLEAR BASED OFF LATEST HI-RES MODELS AND TRENDS WITH RADAR AND SAT

IMAGERY.

A VOLATILE SITUATION IS DEVELOPING WHICH LOOKS TO SUPPORT SEVERAL

SUPERCELL STORMS MOVING ACROSS THE CWA FROM LATE MORNING AND DURING

THE AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS

OFF THE CHART AND AT LEVELS RARELY SEEN. EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES ARE

CURRENTLY 600-900 M2/S2 AND FORECAST TO REMAIN VERY HIGH AND WILL

LIKELY HOLD IN THE 300-600 M2/S2 RANGE IF NOT HIGHER. INSTABILITY

WILL BE QUITE HIGH AS WELL AND EXCEED 2500-3000 J/KG IF DEWPTS HOLD

AROUND 70. FORCING WILL BE INTENSE AND THERE WILL BE SOME CAPPING

MOVING IN FROM THE SW. THIS SHOULD KEEP CELLS DISCRETE AND

SUPERCELLULAR TODAY. DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS PUSHING 80 KTS AND COULD GET

HIGHER AS A 100KT MID LEVEL JET CORE PUNCHES INTO THE REGION IN A FEW

HRS.

EVOLVING SUPERCELLS IS THIS EXTREME ENVIRONMENT IS BAD NEWS. THERE

WILL LIKELY BE SEVERAL STRONG TORNADOES WITH A VIOLENT TORNADO

POSSIBLE. CURRENT SIGTOR PARAMETERS (10-12) AND 0-1KM EHI VALUES (9-12)

ARE EXTREME ABOUT AS CLASSIC AND SIGNIFICANT OF A SETUP AS THEY COME.

STORMS WILL MOVE QUICKLY NE IN THE FAST DEEP LAYER FLOW AND STORMS

SHOULD AVG 50-60 MPH. THIS SETUP WILL ALSO SUPPORT LONG LIVED

SUPERCELLS AND LONG TRACKED TORNADOES. I CAN'T STRESS ENOUGH HOW

DANGEROUS A SITUATION THIS APPEARS. OUR SAVING GRACE WOULD BE IF

STORM MODE SOME HOW BECOMES MORE LINEAR...BUT ALL HI-RES GUID

SUPPORTS DISCRETE CELLS. IN ADDITION TO TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL

WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH DMG WINDS OF 60-80 MPH.

1037 AM TORNADO 6 S LAWRENCEBURG 35.16N 87.34W

04/27/2011 LAWRENCE TN TRAINED SPOTTER

TORNADO WITH DEBRIS WITNESSED BY MULTIPLE SPOTTERS IN

LEOMA

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0620

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1045 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EASTERN LA AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MS

INTO AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 271545Z - 271715Z

A LONG LEAD-TIME/LONG DURATION PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS /PDS/ TORNADO

WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED SOON...MOST CERTAIN ACROSS

NORTHERN/CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MS.

VISIBLE SATELLITE/SURFACE OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS IMPLY RELATIVELY

QUICK AIRMASS RECOVERY/DESTABILIZATION IS OCCURRING FROM LA INTO

MS/AL THROUGH MID/LATE MORNING. THIS IS THE CASE NOT ONLY FOR IN THE

VICINITY OF EARLY MORNING WEST-EAST OUTFLOW ACROSS MS/AL...WHERE

SURFACE TEMPERATURES/DEWPOINTS HAVE EACH INCREASED 8-12F OVER THE

PAST 2 HR...BUT ALSO IN THE WAKE OF AN APPARENT WAVE-LIKE FEATURE

SPREADING EASTWARD CROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MS/LA AS A CU FIELD

OTHERWISE CONTINUES TO INCREASE/MATURE ACROSS NORTHEAST LA.

AIDED BY STRONG AMPLIFICATION/INTENSIFICATION OF AN INCREASINGLY

NEGATIVE TILT SHORTWAVE TROUGH/ASSOCIATED JET STREAK LATER TODAY...A

VOLATILE SCENARIO IS EXPECTED TO UNFOLD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

CONVECTIVE INITIATION OF VIGOROUS CONVECTION BY EARLY/MID AFTERNOON

IS WELL SUPPORTED BY EXPERIMENTAL GUIDANCE SUCH AS SEVERAL RECENT

HRRR RUNS AND THE 12Z WRF-NMM. SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM

GUIDANCE SUCH AS THE RUC/12Z NAM...ACCENTUATED BY VERY LONG/STRONGLY

CURVED LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS...SUPPORT THE NOTION OF SUPERCELLS

CAPABLE OF STRONG/POTENTIALLY VIOLENT TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY

EVENING ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGH RISK AREA.

TN

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN

1041 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHERN GILES COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

EAST CENTRAL LAWRENCE COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

SOUTHWESTERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

SOUTHEASTERN MAURY COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 1115 AM CDT

* AT 1037 AM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR

LAWRENCEBURG. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST AT

70 MPH.

CU building and scattered convection tryin gto get going over LA now..this could be it

yet another

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS

950 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.

..REMARKS..

0235 AM TORNADO 5 SSW EUPORA 33.48N 89.31W

04/27/2011 CHOCTAW MS EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 FATAL, 7 INJ *** UPDATE...EMERGENCY MANAGER

CONFIRMS 1 FATALITY IN A CAMPER AT A STATE PARK.

EXTENSIVE DAMAGE REPORTED IN THE AREA OF CHOCTAW COUNTY

NEAR THE BORDER WITH WEBSTER COUNTY. MANY TREES DOWN

ACROSS ROADS AND ON TOPS OF HOUSES. MOBILE HOMES

DESTROYED AND SOME HOMES DAMAGED...ESPECIALLY ALONG

HEBRON ROAD. AT LEAST 7 INJURIES REPORTED...AND DAMAGE

AND INJURY REPORTS STILL COMING IN.

another fatality

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL

948 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.

..REMARKS..

0654 AM TSTM WND DMG PISGAH 34.68N 85.85W

04/27/2011 JACKSON AL EMERGENCY MNGR

REPORTS OF STUCTURAL DAMAGE...NUMEROUS TREES DOWN...AND

POWERLINES DOWN ALONG A PATH FROM PISGAH TO FLAT ROCK

NEAR CR 120. ONE DEATH OCCURRED IN THE PISGAH AREA.

POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE.

0945 AM TORNADO 5 SE BIRCHWOOD 35.31N 84.93W

04/27/2011 MEIGS TN EMERGENCY MNGR

EMA REPORTED POSSIBLE TORNADO TOUCHDOWN ON MT ZION RD

NEAR GEORGETOWN...SEVERL HOMES DAMAGED SOME POTENTIALLY

DESTROYED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS

906 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.

..REMARKS..

0244 AM TORNADO MATHISTON 33.54N 89.13W

04/27/2011 WEBSTER MS EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 2 FATAL, 15 INJ *** UPDATE...EMERGENCY MANAGER

CONFIRMS TWO FATALITIES AND ESTIMATES 15 INJURIES WITH

THIS STORM IN WEBSTER COUNTY. EXTENSIVE DAMAGE REPORTED

IN THE SOUTHEAST PART OF WEBSTER COUNTY. WIDESPREAD TREES

AND POWERLINES DOWN...HOMES AND BUSINESSES WITH DAMAGE.

POSSIBLE TORNADO IN AREA BASED ON RADAR.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

956 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

MCMINN COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 1045 AM EDT

* AT 950 AM EDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF

CHARLESTON...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DECATUR. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED

THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

not the main show yet but new watch

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 230

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

810 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN ALABAMA

NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 810 AM UNTIL

200 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND

GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE

AREAS.

\DISCUSSION...STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS NRN MS THROUGH NRN AL ARE

EMBEDDED WITHIN VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WITH LARGE

HODOGRAPHS. AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST

FOR TORNADOES...DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL.

clear pockets in between the complexes over TN and breaks in tghe clouds ahead of the first one

expect new development over LA soon and move into central MS then AL