BornAgain13

0z NAM coming in... looks good so far....

Lol, the SREF has a 989 Low right off Hateras.

Definitely can see the Euro a touch slower and a little more west and south with the dig. All very small subtle changes but positive ones... need this to continue into 0z.

The 18z Euro was not much different than the 12z. Fairly steady,  maybe a small tick with the Low to the west but not much.

You have the key to those colors? thx

Probability of exceeding warning criteria. This was issued after the 18z nam but before the 18z GFS.

Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk

5 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said:

My dog will hunt

Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk
 

German Shepherd? lol

If that thing continues to dig south folks. We are in business... trends have been great today so far 

Much improved on the 18z GFS.... alot of folks get in on accumulating snow this run... not far from the NAM... should be better ensembles...

As much as I would love to take the NAM and run with it, nothing else truly lines up with it right now... would love to see other guidance like that... unfortunate the NAM isn't in its wheelhouse range yet

I would be happy if we got 1-3" out of this for sure.

13 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

EPS not bad for RDU. 2/3 have at least 2 inches for RDU. 

Map?

How does the gefs snowmap compare to 6z?

https://twitter.com/darin_deveauWX/status/1486015269290000385?t=hi5NbuDfl-ukyxSIdPgMwg&s=19

Just now, wncsnow said:

Norfolk and the Tidewater is in a good spot for this. I think 6-10 inches is doable for them

Agreed!

This will be fun tracking the next few days... yes it does look more like a New England blizzard, but here in VA and in North Carolina, we have an opportunity of a minor-moderate event, depending on Location...

Saw a max Kuchera near Boston of 41" lol wow.

Just now, NorthHillsWx said:

Might go hand in hand honestly 

They really hadn't seen much. This will be great for them.

Geez, with the way the GFS looked at H5, u would think the qpf and everything would look better than what the surface map showed.

RGEM looks real good!

18z Euro eps looks decent.... maybe a slight tick better than 12z.... anything is better than what the 18z gfs showed...

Just now, SnowDawg said:

I wouldn't even call what the 18z GFS did a stop of the trend it was on. If anything it was a continuation of it digging the wave more and more SW. Too much of a good thing causing the phase to miss almost entirely.

The Euro is a beauty at 90.... hopefully when the 18z control and eps come out, it will continue to show the improvements.

Hopefully the 18z GFS was 1 we can toss because the 18z EURO out to 90 looked much much better than the GFS

Kinda disgusting to see the 18z GFS and GEFS go in the wrong direction.... hopefully it doesn't become a trend.

NWS with probabilities

Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk