Hoosier

Day 2 marginal risk for a good part of the area with a slight on the western fringes.

Looks like non-essential travel between the U.S. and Canada is going to be banned sometime soon.

My cousin's aunt and uncle (not related to me though) got back from a Europe trip and the aunt is running a fever along with a sore throat. I thought she and her husband got back like a week ago but turns out they were caught up in that long mess at ORD this past weekend. The sore throat is one of the much less common symptoms but can happen. She should probably get tested just to know but no idea if she will.

I'm going to change it to evil foreign invader so as to not stigmatize a city.

The $1000 for everybody idea is sort of interesting. There is an Oprah meme for that.

For real. I have been trying to talk my mom into not going to the gym. She is not in the highest risk group but she is later 60s. She is good with sanitizing the equipment but still. Most of what she does she could figure out some exercise substitutions at home. I imagine the decision is going to be taken out of her hands in the very near future anyway.

The new report that came out is mind boggling... says the closings/social distancing may have to go on for up to 18 months or until a vaccine is widely available. Good luck getting people to go along with that. At some point I think people would just say screw it and if I get sick or die, so be it.

First 2 cases confirmed here in Lake county IN. Both currently in the hospital.

Ohio polls closed tomorrow. Hopefully the other states that are voting are doing whatever they can to minimize the risk.

Anyone else hyper aware of people coughing? I went to the store a little while ago and on the way in there was a woman ahead of me who coughed w/out covering her mouth. I tried to stay out of her path.

Thank you

Gov Holcomb just announced first coronavirus death in Indiana.

Lots of rumors about a lockdown/quasi lockdown nationally later this week. Just rumors but doesn't seem like a stretch at this rate.

Another 349 deaths in Italy. They have had their 2 deadliest days back to back. Eventually the lockdown should start paying off there but I'm sure it seems a bit hopeless right now.

If you go back and look at some newspaper headlines from when the 1918 flu was ramping up, it looks strikingly similar to the news headlines now. The lesson from back then is that distancing/quarantines do help to "flatten the curve", but it has to be done early and aggressively. Philadelphia was very slow to act back then and they had a much higher illness/death rate than other places in the US that acted more quickly. St. Louis acted quickly and they were able to keep their rate on the lower side. But one thing to learn from St. Louis is that they started to loosen their restrictions after about 6 weeks, and then there was an immediate spike in cases there. So the 8 week guidance that has come out from the CDC seems long, but past experience suggests it may even need to go on longer.

lol https://www.fox5ny.com/news/do-not-call-911-just-because-you-ran-out-of-toilet-paper-oregon-police-say

Now Indiana is stopping in person dining in restaurants.

It will get cancelled due to coronavirus.

Pritzker announcing all bars and restaurants closing in Illinois. Prepare for an influx of patrons into neighboring Indiana lol

A guy in Kentucky refused to self quarantine. Now this: https://www.kentucky.com/news/health-and-medicine/article241205151.html

Chicago

Yes, that is why I am skeptical of the "warm weather is going to magically eradicate this" argument that some people have been making. It is a novel virus that nobody has immunity to because, well, it's novel. All I am saying is that you'd probably rather have it be 90/humid than having more moderate temperatures. Medical community will be learning a lot more about this no doubt.

Italy just had its worst day yet. Yikes.

I'm no doctor but to me, all other things being equal, it makes sense that warm weather would help slow it down to some extent. Factors arguing the other way are that this is a novel virus that is very contagious, so perhaps the dropoff rate in warm weather won't be as large as we see with other viruses. How far we are willing to go with mitigation in the coming weeks could also play a role.

The CDC basically came out and said that 8 week closures would be better than 2-4 weeks. Should schools go to that, then many may not be returning before the end of the school year. Does start to create an issue about whether final exams would be administered online.