lakeeffectkid383

3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

1.3" here 4.8" storm total. 81.8" on the year. Looks like 100" is a lock.

Definitely a solid winter. 86.4” on the season here. The snow pack persistence has been excellent. Will likely have over 2 months of continuous snow cover. Don’t see anyway we don’t hit triple digits before the seasons over. Hell we may hit it before the end of February. 

Another 1.4” of snow since this morning. Moderate to heavy snow burst off and on the last couple hours. 

1 minute ago, SnowLover22 said:

Snowpack instantly replaced i love it! So pretty much continuous snowpack for over a month now!

I’ve had a continuous pack here since early Jan. Looks like we’ll be going at least 2 months with pack on the ground as the next few weeks and possibly beyond are looking quite good. 

4.4” the final tally at home in Derby. More than expected tbh. 

Snow pack held on no problem here. Still at least 6” of pack. Huge difference between my place and my work in Hamburg with much more snow otg here. Must have been that extra lake effect event where I got over 14” in between synoptic storms that really helped because the difference between here and Hamburg is unreal for such a short distance. Snowing nicely out now. 
 

Gives me 3-4” verbatim while 30 miles to my north IAG sees 12” plus. Gonna be a crazy cut off somewhere. I’d feel a lot better if I was ThinkSnow18. I could see him getting 6-8” while I see 2” of snow and an inch of sleet. 

00z NAM with a sizable SE shift as well. Look at the cutoff over BUF. 

00z top

18z bottom

Fwiw 18z euro came SE a good bit. Puts BUF right on the line for respectable accumulations. Gonna be really close. 

3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

An inch of ice for you and me. Lol. I’ll take the under please. 

2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Latest NAM increased the FZR

Would be some problems if that came to fruition. Fully not expecting even close to that much. Also gotta think these models just spit out total QPF with rain falling above the surface but temps at or below freezing. With runoff and the amount of time it takes for ice to accrete I don’t see this being anywhere even close to right, although it is interesting to watch. 

3 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said:

Agreed…makes it look like a wave runner. GFS still brings the goods

Not really they look pretty similar. Looks like a ton of rain followed by a little freezing rain, then sleet, and 1-2” of snow. Actually looking forward to these warm temps. It feels so good to go outside and not be freezing cold. 

1 hour ago, rochesterdave said:

EPS is actually VERY bullish on the BUF/IAG/ROC corridor. Hope lives for another six hours. Relies on later development of the low. 

Can you post? 

Looking better for sure for a 3-5” snow for the Niagara Frontier. At least we’ll replenish some of what we lose from the rain though I’m sure we’ll lose more than 5” of pack. Still sitting on 11” of total glacier pack here.

4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

UK

GEM

Congrats IAG? 

13 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

NAM is north

NAM always amped in its long range. 

5 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

My neighborhood! These meso lows are fun

And barely shows up on radar! 

Heaviest snow I’ve seen all year at Sweet Farm road and Culver Road. Gotta be 3-4” hour pure fluff just pouring down. 

11 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

Getting whalloped in Irondequoit 

Dude I’m in Irondequoit right now at Culver and Ridge road and it’s a pure whiteout. 

14 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

It’s an ugly spell. No two ways about it. Hope we catch another winter period in 3 weeks or so. It’s too early to be over.

Give me one whopper in March and I’ll be happy with this winter. At 80” now so give me a good 20” storm in March and I’d call this winter a good one for me personally. 

2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Was just using KBUFs reading. Probably quite a few mid 40s out of sunshine readings.

My station is in the middle of the yard and has a thermostat shield so sunshine wouldn’t affect it. Downright toasty. 

1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said:

43 here with sunshine.

49 on my home weather station which matches up with surrounding stations. 

Just now, BuffaloWeather said:

ROC was -6.7

Watertown was -9.1

Oh okay so just the faulty always warm BUF temp sensor. SYR was probably close to BUF? 

Just now, BuffaloWeather said:

-3.6

Felt colder, just goes to show you how much we’ve been above average. A -3.6 departure feels like -13.6 departure. 

5 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

I feel like its been cold here this month but than I check stats and we're +1.1 lol

What did Jan end up at BUF?