Extreme NEGA

4 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Fox Carolina 

Did it look like this lol? 

Just now, burrel2 said:

FYI, the RAP is similar to the HRRR in that it has no warm nose above i-85 at 10am tomorrow morning.

Have you seen WRF 12z?!

2 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:

Still good for NC looks like. Getting close to time to throw in the towel in GA and SC though looks like. GFS gave hope at 18z but every run of the NAM has just exploded with more and more warmth in the mid-levels. 

I don't know. The nam gave me 3 inches.

Nam is rolling

It's going to be model madness on here tomorrow.

HRRR is now runing. Goes out to hour 36.

Just now, ST21 said:

I like that map with the differences in the models.

Hope the mid-levels trend colder but my gut says no lol. The 2/8 storm was much weaker and didn't push warm air in the mid-levels.

35 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

Rgem is well south. This storm's outcome is still TBD. Here's 1pm Thursday. NAM has snow ripping across the entire state of NC and most of TN at this point.

When does the HRW's run again burrel2?

Just now, BornAgain13 said:

Is this good??

Yes

Yep. PA or NY would be great 

The mountains always have a good chance

4 minutes ago, Hvward said:

Wow did we just lose Ryan Newman? Man that was an awful wreck..

 

Been I long time since I have seen one of those wrecks. That hit to the driver side door was nasty. Hoping he is ok.

CFS still has it so there that lol

Well the Euro killed this discussion for now

1 minute ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

I haven't looked at maps much yet, what is the timeframe looking like? As much as I like to see snow fall in the day we really do better with night snowfall. 

Looks to be mid to late day thursday.

6 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

Every sounding ive looked at is saturated up to 250mb Thursday morning. Growing dendrites shouldn’t be a problem. 

850mb temps look good too. Got to imagine the snow maps are underdone at this range right?

Pretty sure this has been asked before but what does Dendritic growth mean on the soundings?

Liking the CMC not as suppressed.

Looks like it's going to get squashed. I'm out. Got to catch the ZZZZ.

Lets see what the CMC has in store for us tonight.

I Will take that look at this range

3 minutes ago, Ollie_Williams said:

GFS running off of the NOAA site and took a big step towards the Euro.



.

1 minute ago, bargainmusic said:

GFS appears to be down?

Yea what's the deal?

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

1030

just started.

When does the GFS come out? 11:30?