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Everything posted by Stovepipe
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Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
RadarScope and https://radar.weather.gov/ mostly. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's a tiny flaked sand blaster at 15 degrees here and a healthy radar. I don't think my weather station is picking up on the wind speed or gusts. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Generally smaller flake size with some bigger ones mixed in, but still steady light to moderate snow at 16 degrees. HRRR still looks on track from what I can tell. We have a solid 4 inches with 5 in the grass as of 6am. Edit: And windy! Snow sometimes blowing sideways. The roof snow blow off is real. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
New little band to the west of the main blob is pouring snow currently, 17 degrees. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The super heavy dbz stuff looks to have wobbled over to west Knox, Loudon, and NW Blount. The overall blob is growing towards Madisonville and Tellico Plains. Oscillating between periods of peas with dimes and dimes with nickles here. Pretty dang good rates even when the radar shows relatively lower. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
HRRR still good through 2pm for snow in most areas and some far longer than that in the east. Showing a 4 to 7 inch gradient over Knox still! I'm likely between 3 and 4 currently at 19.6 degrees. We reeled us in a good one! -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I heard two rounds of gunfire earlier, around midnight. I figure either rednecks were drunk and celebrating or the toilet paper shortage wars have already broken out. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looking at the mosaic radar it seems like it might be slightly rotating counter-clockwise or wobbling right over east TN, sweeping in the southern areas along the way. Doesn't appear to be going anywhere any time soon, which matches the general look of the HRRR. 19.8 degrees currently here. Hope we can keep the chunky flakes with temps in the teens! -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
East Knox/west Jefferson/north Sevier really intensified, gotta be wild over there! -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I did not expect huge chunky flakes with this system... but I'm over here watching quarters pile up. It's a beauty. 20.7 degrees. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
HRRR sticking to its guns, shows this being active through 3pm with remarkably similar totals run to run for this area. Which are actually going up since we already have snow on the ground that it isn't initializing with. Edit: Now ripping dimes and nickels! -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Right as I posted the flakes got bigger; now have peas with dimes. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's happening! As we approach the magic hour the radar is filling in. It is snowing pretty hard on me under that band. Not huge flakes but rippin good at 21.7 degrees. These kinds of rates will add up if we can keep em coming. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like it's trying to form a line that will move across several counties. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The HRRR shows a rapid expansion westward from 1am to 2am and again the next hour. Sure hope the radar blows up like that, will be fun if it does. Currently 22.5 here and if the HRRR is correct it'll be 19 degrees by 2am. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The band from Norris to Maynardville is expanding south and might sweep through here. 23 degrees. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
2 AM is the magic hour. If the HRRR is right we'll be entering the teens with QPF broadly over us, I'm interested to see what that's gonna look like. I'm currently 23.9 with steady light snow, the wind has picked up. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The snow is light but steady in Halls with peas and dimes, non-brined roads are starting to get some coverage. Temp dropping steadily, currently 25. Glad to see the modeling is still in almost perfect agreement for 5 inches for this location. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Getting some chunkier flakes mixing in now, not much wind so far, temp is 26.8. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
Stovepipe replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Coming down pretty good in Halls - flakes get bigger under the better returns, ground is white. Currently 28 degrees. -
No model that I saw leading up to this had snow starting before around 7pm in the central valley. Temps were shown to creep up to around 36 and then crash down hard by the time snow starts. So far it looks to me like we are about on track for that.
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Kids these days with their Kuchera and what not, I'm going with old school Cobb and 06z NAM for 4.5 inches at TYS for this one.
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What's up with the pink pirate shirt?
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I'll be very surprised if surface temps get above 35 tomorrow in the central valley. Not that there is a chance of rain lol, just saying, some of these upper 30s progs don't feel right before the precip falls.
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