Isopycnic

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 205 PM Wednesday...

By Friday morning, the cold front should have moved east and
offshore of the Carolinas, so the bulk of the rain will have also
moved east, but there will still be leftover showers with the upper
trough moving through. Kept chance pops generally from Raleigh to
the north and east, with areas to the north of Raleigh still having
a slight chance of showers into the afternoon. Friday will be
another windy day because of a tight pressure gradient, with wind
gusts ranging from 30 mph across the Triad to 40 mph in the
southeast across Sampson County.

There will be a brief break in rain Friday night, but an upper level
shortwave should bring a chance of showers Saturday afternoon across
the Triad and most of the area Saturday night. Temperatures still
look very marginal for supporting snow, and even if there were a few
snowflakes, the ground should remain too warm to allow any snow to
stick. High pressure will yield another short period of dry weather
Sunday, Sunday night, and Monday morning. After that, low pressure
will move over New England, dragging a cold front across the region.
Behind the cold front, high pressure will attempt to build in from
the north, but models are on the fence as to how far south the front
will drop before coming stationary. Have continued chance pops
Monday night through Wednesday.

18 hours ago, SteveRDU said:

When was the last time that happened?

January 16-17 timeframe looks interesting. 

11 hours ago, magpiemaniac said:

I wonder what the next decade will look like.

I’ve received 37” from 2014-2019

Happy New Year!

2019 weather stats from my front lawn.

Calendar year 2019 statistics:

Mean Temp:  62.4f (+3.3f)

-----------------------------------------

Max Temp: 100.2f

Mean Max:  73.2f

-----------------------------------------

Min Temp:  15.8f

Mean Min:  51.7f

------------------------------------------

Rainfall:  49.88” (+1.84”)

Snowfall:  0.1”

(10.1” 2017/18 season)

18 hours ago, mackerel_sky said:

Nothing remotely good showing up in the long range, unless you like warm or seasonal and rain

There’s potential on Jan 9th

25 minutes ago, H2O said:

Edit my earlier post.  Did have a period of sleet that whitened the ground a little.  

Wholly sleet! It’s supposed to be 65f today in aviationdaveland!

06z Gfs  says congrats Boone only, hello dec 23rd! 

Just now, Isopycnic said:

Winter officially begins in just 25 days. Ahead of Dec. 21, Elizabeth Gardner and Mike Maze share their winter weather predictions, including the biggest question of all: Will we see snow?

 

https://www.wral.com/no-el-ni-o-this-year-could-mean-a-milder-winter-with-less-snow/18790970/

Answer is naso much. 

Winter officially begins in just 25 days. Ahead of Dec. 21, Elizabeth Gardner and Mike Maze share their winter weather predictions, including the biggest question of all: Will we see snow?

https://www.wral.com/no-el-ni-o-this-year-could-mean-a-milder-winter-with-less-snow/18790970/

Great work, thanks!

A Trace overnigt

On 10/20/2019 at 8:01 AM, Isopycnic said:

1.78” so far. 

1.84” storm total

1.78” so far. 

0.49”

Snow!

23 hours ago, mackerel_sky said:

Next weekend, fall truly begins

Only temporary relief though according to the gfs. 

On 9/19/2019 at 9:45 AM, NorthHillsWx said:

Hopefully a wet pattern starts soon. Not seeing much hope on the models. Keep checking back hoping for a change. Only good news is timing for duck season. Going into duck season it's going to be very little water (opposite of last year). Birds are going to have fewer places to go so hopefully my farm which has great beaver swamps that always hold water will have more birds as they will be less spread out and more prone to use continual sources of water, Looking at the positive of this!

Rabbit season. 

Still waiting, again.... Hopefully I wont be Oct 11th this year. 

First hint, Sept 25th

Is hurricane josh on a Caribbean cruise ship filming Dorian?

How much for philly?

Will I have to wear a tinfoil hat?

10 hours ago, Akeem the African Dream said:

damn.  didn’t realize shaggy was doing the tropical threads .

hope you’ll join in the hardcore thread at the other site. 

I’m not quite into hardcore. 

2.55” since yesterday. 1.50” in 30 minutes last night with a 7.89”/hr rain rate. 

0.25”