CNY-LES FREAK

I should grab a quick 1" out of this shower or squall that's heading this way so well see Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

If we really wanna get simple about this weekend, alls it is, is a wave of LP that forms along the Arctic Front and has no choice but to strengthen as the temperature difference between the two air masses is absurd. I cant imagine where it's gonna end up, the front that is. What puts the brakes on it and where does that happen is a good question. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Nothing is predictable past 3 days, and its simple as that and I dont care what anyone says. Past 3 days, pretty much anything can occur so a system that's in our view, from 6 days away can literally disappear from guidance then reappear. Ice and sleet are literally frozen types of precip that are almost impossible to predict during an event, nevermind a week out. Like we all mentioned already, its gonna come down to where that HP heads and how fast. If it slows up and it heads to the SE then suppression would seem most likely with that scenario. If the HP starts to haul ass and out runs the System, then expect a super monsoon/deluge as the return flow from the ATL and all the Gulf Moisture will literally drown us so if ur Sump Pumps not working properly you better get it fixed before next weekend. They pretty much need to move in tandem all the while supplying cold low level air, but that won't do, as we need the H850 and the H700 to also cooperate, donuts a really delicate situation. Its definitely a threading the needle situation. Man I'd love to be in either Toronto or Montreal and even Ottawa cause one or 2 of them is gonna be buried when all is said and done, lol. If it goes further West, then everyone rains, but this scenario I don't see happening so we wait for the next 20 runs, lol! I will say this though: if 3 of our major Globals are in great agreement with each other, and remain so the next several runs going into Wednesday and Thursday, then we're toast. Any other Winter we'd be rejoicing to the high heavens to see a low emerge from the 4 corners and hook NE and redevelop off the Delmarva. I dont even think this redevelops, does it? Doesn't matter anyway as its days and days away but it will matter soon enough, cause weeks are flying by, and super fast too. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Nice and healthy band coming ur way Wolfie. Their seems to be lots of graupel within some of these heavier squalls but probably not up there by you! Its definitely snowing 1-2"/he in that band for sure! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

What storms? We had one in Nov, lol!

I'm digging Tues-and Wed event tbh cause there could be some nice surprises!

Its not gonna be the surface that screws us its gonna be the mid-lvl lp's that kill us! The H850 is already going right over us and the 700 as well so these got a ways to go before anything gets resolved!

I'm at 40F lol goodbye dusting Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Things may get a bit better organized come this evening wrt Les as there will definitely be some CAA but not much or else we'd have a decent event unfolding, but not this yr. Anyway, as temps lower tonight to about -11C we may see a flare up on a wsw or a Werly vector for a few hrs and that may drop a few to several inches but this is all speculation right now. Theres even a small window for the Southern portion of Oswego county to get a couple more inches tonight but this too is all speculation but also definitely possible! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Whoever ends up on the Northern side of this thing is gonna see enough snow for days and days, lol!

Nevermind, that 1040HP aint budging and if either global goes the other way Maine will be a deluge as well as noone will be spared!

It doesn't have to, as long as this beast knows its not going straight North like a true Cutter, but I'm sure that'll be the outcome!

Oh-duh- their just for EU, lol!

well lets see em, lol!

I also think the meso's are off their rockers with all the snow their painting for the area through tonight but what do I know! It's no-where near cold enough for true LE nevermind LE, but I just don't see it!

If the HP can actually outrun the LP and then we get Cirrus with bone-chilling dry weather, lol!

UKMET, toss it!

That would be a seriously dangerous situation if it ever came to fruition, which is not quite likely.

I just want KBUF and KBGM to stick a size 14" Timberland boot into their mouths with both their pathetic discussions a week away, like it was tomorrow!

I think this is Super Ideal but its light yrs away!

Rain is a lock!

RLMAO

Its a absolute JOKE thats why starting pay is 22,000, lol, I can make more per yr panhandling, lol!

Meanwhile they can't resolve a snow event thats 24hrs out! Why do we even have Mets anymore? Why are they needed for? Models do the forecasting and a broadcast major learns to read a green screen and she or hes the one who gives the public the forecast, lol!

A week away and their 100% confident its gonna rain, lol!