CNY-LES FREAK

There is not! Those departures would yield temps in the low-mid 30's and thats good enough for snow up here!

Not for nothing but the MJO forecast the past few weeks has been nothing short of atrocious as 1wk-2wk verifications have been so off, its hilarious!

But if Thursdays event can become just a stronger system and become the 50/50 we need, we can perhaps at least see some snow, so we'll see as a lot hinges on tomorrows event!

Thats definitely true as I'm already expecting a gully washer so.....!

I actually am confident we eclipse the 4" mark tomorrow!

Im 20 miles to ur North buddy, Im in a prime spot for enhancement as these are the overperforming events that we usually do good in !

The Pacific has basically ruined our Winter and theres a pretty simple explanation if ya can follow me. OHweather did a good job of explaining the MJO, but he didn't mention the consistent forcing thats been present for the past 4-6wks displaced just East of the DL right around 140-160W and this, in turn, has allowed the mean trough to remain off shore across the N.ATL for the same amt of time, and its not changing. If the forcing I'm talking about had been displaced the other way, then we'd be sitting pretty but thats the weather and perhaps the wicked drought conditions across Australia have had an effect across the Trop Pac, who knows! Hawaii has had a trough over them for the past 6 weeks and usually its to their East, but not this yr. Not saying it can't or won't snow, I'm just saying those who were hoping on a pattern change, including JB, have to wait a couple to a few weeks longer. I never really see the MJO getting to phase 8- 1 or 2 but it does get into 7 briefly so unless the Trop Pac changes, and does so quickly, then I don't think Winter makes an appearance the whole season and when it did in Nov, it was Fall and go look where the forcing was in Nov, lol!

upslope on Southerly winds, lol!

Everyone seriously needs to stop looking at precip output maps because they ruin it all, and they NEVER pan out!

Definitely needs some work!

I'm gonna be honest about the weekend event that bothers me and thats the H700 LP cause its all the way up near Lake Superior and it basically shows a cold front passage, as far as moisture is concerned, so we do need some serious changes wrt the upper lvls!

It's Thursdays event that gets the pattern to start changing so thats an important event! That also becomes the 50/50, so its a real important one, lol!

My area is a snow repellent this yr, so far, but every so often we get thrown a bone, like that one meso in November, lol, so maybe, just maybe this wed-thurs event can be that once every so often, lol!

Whats getting old is you saying the same thing every post, RLMAO! We all know its a dud of a Winter and its not likely to change but when there is a chance, it gets dismissed automatically because of past events and its understandable but not warranted every event! EPO is headed negative is a +, PNA is headed Pos, albeit slowly a +, a double barrel banana high a +, an antecedent cold air mass, fresh batch of Modified AA a + and the NAO is headed towards Neutral so I think we stand a much better chance this go around but we'll see right!

I just don't understand how ppl don't see this, lol? It's NOT A CUTTER and if it did get to KCLE we'd either dry-slot or go over to snizzle then get pounced with LE on a NW-WNW flow!

I woke up early this morning and it was 57F, took a nap and just woke up to 29F with a snow shower, WTF? Thanks NWS and all you other public servants. Keep regurgitating what a computer tells you to and this is what you get, lol! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Idk who wants a clipper pattern cause I don't! 2-3" events followed by frigid temps and multi banded LE, nah I'll pass as I'd rather 70F with Sun and a nice SW breeze. I'm so done with this Winter, that I could care less if it snows anymore, and I'm dead serious. FEB 1st is around the corner and by then, sun angle starts to come into play so for me, the best part of the Winter is pretty much over so on to Spring, Please! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

this guy is completely nuts as he continues to compare this yr to 02-03and I keep telling him hes off his rocker, lol! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Believe it or not but we have Spring peepers already peeping away and its gonna be like this tomorrow as well so even the frogs think its Spring which is scary! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Look at the Upper Level H500 SE Ridge thats been ever present so where do you expect them to go,lol? need a -NAO

I must say, my bill just CV came and it's down by almost a Benjamin and that's a big plus so another silver lining, thanks CNY Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I'm done with my ranting on the 11th of July apologies, I meant January, lol! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Yeah well better just isn't gonna cut it! We need a full blown pattern change, not a blip and then were right back to the same ol bullshit and that's exactly what's happening behind this, whatever you wanna call it, event! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Yeah I'm sure you'll get ur Wind fix, lol, so good for you, as at least someone can appreciate this God awful weather, lol! At least you found a silver lining, lol Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Like I said, I'll be around watching and waiting like the rest of us Winter lovers but tracking for me has been put on the back burner cause nothing that Ive looked at this morning gives me any sort of hope for sustainable cold. Forget the snow, we need the cold first, then the cold will come and the snow will be gone, lol! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk