Ravens94

Well the snow that was supposed to hit here went south. Congrats yall

Euro and UK vs all else

Gfs is dead solid.

Most Models have 12-14:1 ratios north of Baltimore/DC that makes up for less pricip. Ratios are 10:1 or less near the cities.

More coastal influence on the RGEM aswell. Definitely north from 12z

RGEM is a crushjob About 40 miles north vs 12z

Some changes definitely less confluence so far and more northern stream interaction

Primary yes but the transfer is north off NC kinda countered that. The faster the transfer the bigger the hit

Winds backing NE more this run costal influence was hinted to be more of a thing in the GEFS at 12z NAM is definitely showing more of it

Front end is definitely trending north

Flurries in bel air

Improvement from 0z

GEFS also shows a stronger tighter costal low formation on about half maybe more of the boxes. The OP split the difference of the few drier solutions but it's very very far from the euro

I was just about to say the individuals look really good

Unlike the euro the GFS is just waffling at this point. Curious to ukie and euro has to come back some

I do think we need to remember although it's been awhile the euro has a tendency to move alot in this time frame. I remember many snow storms we have all tracked where the euro ventures off then comes back within 48. And it's forever the GFS vs Euro battle but the Euro is not perfect in this time frame for some reason. And don't be surprised if the GFS goes of it's rocker here soon too. There both similar at 500 it's just how they handle the confluence. The moisture fetch from the gulf is really remarkable on all guidance

12z RGEM a tick back north.

Look at the moisture fetch from the gulf

It's getting slower and slower but more amped in the Midwest same here tho for sure pretty much

Nam is slower and trending slower out west with the LP

RGEM shifted atleast 90 miles south too. 12z will be telling if it's a trend or if it's just a waffle

Moisture transport is getting better and better this morning that's for sure.

Definitely adjusting north run with the precip and getting warmer at 850 every run