Orangeburgwx

1 hour ago, Cold Rain said:

comment of the year right there

is it bad I want to experience a blizzard warning for once in my life? (just to say I lived though one)

36 minutes ago, WarmNose said:

Lots of mid 1040's dropping down at the beginning of February on 12z GFS fwiw 

seems like it keeps reloading with an extended magazine... wave after wave of cold air shots with maybe two days of warm between them

11 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

That's a good look! We could score with that. That's a Christmas to New Years deja vu!

Except this air mass might be even colder

GFS trended WAY colder out west at the end of the 12z run, some areas near the Montana/Idaho/Wyoming border with -20s and -30s for the temp

12 hours ago, calculus1 said:

I feel like you speak in a code of some sort, and I don't have the key to decode it. You are a true enigma, sir.

Sent from my Alcatel 6055U using Tapatalk
 

he is referring to the 500mb vortex energies

1 hour ago, Solak said:

A couple Tweets from JB

1) Saturday summary on http://Weatherbell.com  later today will explain why the worst of the cold for the nation may be still on the way, I grow more impressed each day. Setups similar to other great February invasions 1967,1933,2015 being studied now along with MJO rotation years

2)

Unlike last winter, There will be some of the coldest air in the world ready to strike when MJO goes into the holy grail of cold phases in Feb 8,1,2,3 forecasted on ECMWF to where it was around Dec 17 GLAAM also heading higher Winter in west for now, but east target after thaw

so you think we could have temps colder than they were the first part of January?

1 hour ago, kvegas-wx said:

So thats where Ryan Blaneys mustache went!

that was brilliant 

8 minutes ago, WarmNose said:

I'm guessing the EURO came in suppressed this afternoon since no one has posted about it

I haven’t seen the run since I’m heading to heading to work, but I think it did...

12z NAM looked almost identical to 6zGFS at 84h

3 minutes ago, Solak said:

Time will tell.....

NWSCPC‏Verified account @NWSCPC 3m3 minutes ago

 

 

February is forecast to be warmer than usual for the Four Corners region, along the southern tier, and up the east coast, while below-normal temperatures are likely for the Pacific Northwest through Northern Rockies. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead14/ …

I don’t know, they have been dead wrong so far...

I think all winter will tend to stay at/or BN, with brief periods of warm ups

27 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

As frustrating as the upstate is, CAE really does have a tough time. I calculated that back in the Dec storm, and it has indeed been almost 4 years w/o measurable snow, that's INCREDIBLE. Every now and then, cola gets a really nice one, but gets blanked a heck of a lot. Not sure why it's so difficult there.

My belief is because it is in the dead center of the state... mountains zap anything coming from the NW, and it is too far inland to have a significant oceanic moisture tap. I  live 40 miles south of Cola. so I get the benefit of the ocean tap from the Atlantic (5” from the Coastal Crusher and yet Columbia got hardly flurries). 

GFS shows two possible storms... 

a pseudo Miller A setup (IF the cold air drops further south) on the 25th-26th, and another a few days later on the 29th.

2 minutes ago, Justicebork said:

This is the one.  Start the thread, CR.

The thread for Wednesday has already been made

Pats are only a 9 point favorite... hmm, possible upset in the making? 

My area on the latest GFS:

144hr- 41

150hr- 65

wtf.... that is 4 degrees an hour

5 minutes ago, Justicebork said:

KRDU is truly the Cleveland Browns of the southeastern US winter storm community.  We will always find hilarious ways to lose.

I am a Browns fan so I know that pain all too well...

2 minutes ago, HKY1894 said:

Way out in fantasy land on the CMC is a much better look for a storm, could possibly cut or be a miller b but much better movement of the energy way out on the west coast early on, in the southeast we can’t rely on energy dropping into the northwest and digging through the Midwest, Gotta be into Cali and through the southwest. December 8th-9th was more similar to this look than what we’ve seen recently 

cutter or a Miller A/B hybrid... got the look to go either way or even both

On a completely unrelated note, I got a question... Why is the max total size I can upload down to just .08MB? I notice it go down every time I post a pic.

NYD redemption snow, thanks NAM!

2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

That's actually not bad.  I was thinking it would be a LOT more.

just don’t go on Amazon, the most expensive there was $3500

3 minutes ago, No snow for you said:

How much does a snow machine cost. I’ll teach Mother Nature a lesson. 

looked it up, cheapest I saw was $50, most expensive was $600

5 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Is it so bad that we are posting real discussion in the banter thread!?

yes

FLURRIES IMBY

I think we can all agree the term “apps rubber” was the highlight of the night