Spartman

Got an inch of snow from that system. 

Overcast every single day since Tuesday. Cloudiest stretch of the season.

We may very well be returning back to a milder pattern towards the final week of this month. 

23 minutes ago, iluvsnow said:

Sotheast burbs Dayton....all out snowstorm. Boys....this one is worth the wait!

Overperforming and torching at 55 as of 2pm.

Since nobody else made this thread yet, I thought I'd make it.

Ended up with a nice, dry weekend yesterday. First dry weekend of 2022.

11 minutes ago, Gino27 said:

Feeling the same way in Columbus right now

Hate it to end up being like the ice storm that New England and parts of Eastern Canada endured in January 1998.

19 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

0z GFS

17 minutes ago, ILSNOW said:

and ice

Sounds like a lock now, thanks to the GooFuS.

1 hour ago, Gino27 said:

Not all that far off from what the euro just did. This thing is gonna change a lot in the next 3 days. I'm not sure I buy the anafront solutions to be honest.

Knowing how little snow we've had this season, time to lock in the GFS?

1 hour ago, Stevo6899 said:

Not gonna end up close to the gfs, which at the moment is on its own, op runs wise.

The 12z GFS would mean some places like Indy or DAY wouldn't get any more snow until around Valentine's Day weekend. 

The GooFuS is really wanting a repeat of February 1-2, 2011 for late next week.

Wonder how long until the Euro, Canadian, and UK models all cave to the GFS.

Plunged to 1F this morning, the coldest temperature of the season, without any snowpack. January 1997 vibes this month, anyone?

What a clown map on the 06z GFS! 

DAY is at 3.2" for the season. The highest snowfall of the month AND this season is 0.8" on both the 16th and yesterday. Based on trends, heading into February without a 1+" snowfall event is a lock. Last time this happened was 1982-83. Besides 1982-83, the other seasons where not one 1+" snowfall event occurred through the end of January are 1949-50, 1927-28, and 1918-19. The latter is the only one without any 1+" snowfall the entire season.

7 hours ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

The long range 6z GFS had a few more chances towards the end of its run too. It was also trying to rebuild convection in the Western Pac at the end:

 

Strat still looks interesting in the long range:

 

Nothing screams SSW, but there is some warming on the GFS. I'm sure the severe fans would love a SSWE around Feb 23, lol. 
 I'll be honest, normally I'm ready for spring by mid March, but if 2011 style severe is on the table for spring, yes, bring on the strat. warming and spring blocking. 

 

The only saving grace during next month would be a SSWE like what the Tennessee Valley forums just discussed about the long range 06z GFS this morning.

Only got 0.4" from today's "clipper".

On 1/21/2022 at 2:50 PM, michsnowfreak said:

Feb always ftw!

Won't be this Feb. Feb is 100% done. It'll have to wait until March for at least one more snowfall opportunity, but it's otherwise time to punt until 2022-23. 

Just now, Spartman said:

Models are now wanting to sneak in another clipper for Monday. 

00z GFS:

00z Euro:

00z NAM:

00z Canadian:

 

 

03z RAP:

Models are now wanting to sneak in another clipper for Monday. 

00z GFS:

00z Euro:

00z NAM:

00z Canadian:

 

NWS ILN still looking good: