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EHoffman

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Everything posted by EHoffman

  1. EHoffman
    I think any model hugging is a recipe for missing expectations. Better to kinda take a mix of all solutions, take note of trends, and pay attention to climo!! Like for yesterday models had DC getting like 2-4 as late as 36 hours ago, but if you've ever been in a borderline situation in DC you just knew that wasn't going to happen.
  2. EHoffman
    Ehhh maybe, there has been some general hiccups across the models in terms of short range projections, but I think as a whole the models have been pretty spot on <48 hours out. I guess it's always smart to keep in mind climo 3-5 days out and expect things to change. At day 5 a model can show a threat but to ask it to set up ptype accurately seems to be stretch. I feel like we get hung up on snowfall and ptype at hr 120 and we miss the forest for the trees. I'm sure as hell guilty of it too.
  3. EHoffman
    Just like with this past storm, I do believe the writing is on the wall for Saturday. NAM has been money starting trends at this time period this winter.
  4. EHoffman
    Anyone else feel like this winter has been 10000x worse than last winter? I mean yeah last winter sucked, but we never really had a legit threat to track. This year it's been heartbreak after heartbreak. I'm kinda ready for spring guys...
  5. EHoffman
    Really interesting stuff, the theme of Metro DC snow has always been razor thin since as long as I've been here, but back in the day it would break our way seemingly more often. I wonder what kind of affect global warming as a whole has on our region; we can't exactly afford a 1-2C degree increase in most storms, and it seems like we just can't push through any more to just get under freezing. I feel like I'm living in the southern St. Mary's Co of 20 years ago, if that makes any sense.
  6. EHoffman
    Beautiful snowy DC...you jealous yet?
  7. EHoffman
    My brother in Eastern HoCo says he's dumping, approaching 3" he says
  8. EHoffman
    93% rain, 6% sleet, 1% moxie here.
  9. EHoffman
    Dumping on this board generally means -SN to maybe mod snow, so sounds about right.
  10. EHoffman
    Love seeing upper MoCo bros cashing in, you guys were responsible for a ton of rainy snow days for me when I was a kid in Rockville. Upper MoCo such an underrated snow zone.
  11. EHoffman
    I can't believe that band is all snow up by you, that's awesome. You must be dumping.
  12. EHoffman
    Don't hear sleet any more, so I guess like all rain here now. Supposedly 34 degrees
  13. EHoffman
    Sir you're going to have to take that pro-rain, anti-snow slant out of this thread. 34 and mod 70%rain/30% sleet
  14. EHoffman
    We can definitely still get a lottery pick or two for beal, he's electric. I'm kinda dismayed because we really don't have a good young core...Bertans has regressed big time this year, TB is good but hurt, and Deni remains to be seen but I haven't really been that impressed. Rui is good.
  15. EHoffman
    It's coming down good here but it's a rain/sleet mix. But the radar does look good for us getting precip for the next few hours at least, maybe we can cool the column? I'm doubtful
  16. EHoffman
    Team is a mess, they somehow got worse defensively since last year. We gotta ship Beal...
  17. EHoffman
    It's actually mostly rain
  18. EHoffman
    I can hear the sleet pouring here in DC, haven't looked outside yet.
  19. EHoffman
    Seems to me based on obs here the sleet/snow line running somewhere around Northern MoCo through central Howard into Baltimore. Interesting stuff.
  20. EHoffman
    Whatever it is it's definitely not snow, but it's probably a mix of sleet snow and rain is my guess. Guess we'll see
  21. EHoffman
    Up your game bro, I got angry at the 6z NAM at 3am last night
  22. EHoffman
    The man is on another level we can't even comprehend. Overcast and 35 still here
  23. EHoffman
    I took Dallas in the south division of my Fantasy Snowfall league, trying to bank on the bonus points for snow above seasonal average. I'm hella pumped.
  24. EHoffman
    Au contraire, Ji is one of the only reasons I occasionally read this board.
  25. EHoffman
    Radar does look great for the C MD/N MD folks I will say that.
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