tek1972

Next week does show us reverting back to this week's pattern but I would be very cautious with this. As we enter late May and early June warmth will build quickly. It happens every year on long island. I expect to see models start backing down with this pattern, and the cooldowns become more brief.

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most of the rain missing the coast, dry slot came in here and the stuff behind looks showery at best.

From my experience these back doors don't meet heavy resistance until June especially in this pattern. As usual by the time we get nice weather it will be hot

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I can't seem to ever recall a May where the average daytime temps averaged high 50s and low 60s on long island. Seems very cool to me.

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Cloudy here. But temps are pleasant

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Looks like Suffolk County's turn

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Finally spring temperatures
I'm enjoying

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What would that mean for us?

Wasn’t expecting to wake up to clear blue skies here in the uws, beautiful morning.

Rainy pattern ahead on every model

Nam usually does do best with these springtime backdoors.

Looks like the models backed off on the very warm temps in the mid to long range.

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Yeah, looks like we could see another brief warm up on Sunday before the next cool down. This spring so far is all about taking the warmer days when we can get them.

The few models that have the wave show it coming through early morning. Low level temps and thicknesses are plenty cold for accumulating snow should there be a narrow fronto/defo band just N of the low. Not unlike the system early last April...

Concentrating on the snowstorm for Monday

Still watching for the potential of a coastal around the 20th

Winter can hit me with everything it's got.. April is 3 weeks away

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I try and be positive. In just 30-40 days deep cold and snow will just be a memory
I'm ready for Spring

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I hate March. it's colder than January

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This storm is booking. I'm leaning towards lower amounts on long island due to this.

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Euro probably overdoing the amplification given the progressive flow. 
But it also has been the best performer overall so I can't discount it. 

SNE didn’t seem happy with that Nam run which is probably good down here. Low in general ticked SE which meant a colder outcome. SNE crew is saying it may have been convection happy and kicked it east prematurely. The storm ramping up quicker may cool the column down faster and make it colder anyway. This’ll be quite tricky actually. I’m expecting practically nothing for the coast, mostly a washout so anything would be nice. Never fun watching Boston get slammed while we get soaked or nothing. 

Barely a dusting in Medford Suffolk county. Almost over.

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Nothing in Suffolk county. Pretty happy about an easy drive to work

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