Snowberd

That hurts my heart. But I'm used it to except not here. Seems I have an affinity for choosing snowholes to live in. I'm from south shore LI originally (Oceanside/Baldwin) Almost every winter storm we were shafted, barely getting the floor. 6 yrs in southern Greenville/Mauldin, Im sensing upcoming FOMO... Same shit different state I fear [emoji30]. .

That hurts my heart. But I'm used it to except not here. Seems I have an affinity for choosing snowholes to live in. I'm from south shore LI originally (Oceanside/Baldwin) Almost every winter storm we were shafted, barely getting the floor. 6 yrs in southern Greenville/Mauldin, Im sensing upcoming FOMO... Same shit different state I fear [emoji30]. .

I'm from south shore LI... notorious snow hole in big storms. Even so this storm would be meh in NY. Unlike the pizza which is amazing. 6 yrs here and only 2 things I miss is the pizza and the snow, till this is storm GSP is gonna crush hopefully [emoji1696] .

Thought we weren't getting anything till like 7pm, yet my radar is showing snow in less than an hr from now? What am I missing?

The NWS actually mentions both scenarios. In other words they have no idea lol Intense isentropic lift atop the cold dome combined with anomalously moist air (PWATs of about 1"...in ~the 90th percentile of daily climatology)...followed by strong/focused ascent along a frontal boundary Sunday afternoon/evening will result in impressive storm total liquid equivalent precip...with 2-3 inches forecast across the mountains of southwest NC, SC, and northeast GA, and generally 1.5-2" elsewhere. Strong warm advection aloft will establish a warm nose that will eventually (a) support a transition from sleet to freezing rain from SW=>NE and ( allow for the valleys of far southwest NC...which will only be weakly affected by CAD...to warm above freezing. The first main forecast challenge is timing the transition to freezing rain. Forecast soundings become quite warm (+5C or more) aloft rather quickly tonight, suggesting a quick transition to FZRA. However, the cold layer at the surface is cold and deep enough to perhaps allow for some refreezing of hydrometeors before they hit the surface. However, this is far from a given...and it lends modest confidence to our ice/sleet accum forecast going forward. Nevertheless, most of the precip is expected to fall as freezing rain such that much of the CWA is expected to see storm total ice accums of 0.5-0.75." An exception on the higher end (0.75-1.0" with locally higher amounts) is forecast along the Blue Ridge escarpment...where the greatest alignment of persistent cold air and higher liquid equivalent is forecast. These amounts are expected to extend across the foothills of SC into the Greenville metro area as well. Widespread downed trees/lines and power outages are expected to be most concentrated in this area. On the lower end, a gradual transition to rain is expected along the southern and western periphery of the CWA during Sunday afternoon due to the synoptic pattern quickly becoming unfavorable for maintenance of cold air damming. This will occur as the upper flow pattern becomes phased...with a long wave trough being carved out over the eastern Conus and an upper ridge quickly building off the East Coast, resulting in cessation of confluent flow and allowing the weakening parent high to move far north into Quebec and become detached from the inverted ridge CAD ridge. The wind field responding to a developing coastal low will provide an additional erosion mechanism. As such, ice totals across the SC Lakelands and vicinity are expected to be in the 0.25-0.5" range, while the valleys beneath the Smokies may struggle to reach 0.25." In summation: forecast ice totals could be too low by 0.1-0.25" if the transition from sleet->freezing rain occurs significantly earlier than currently anticipated. Forecast totals could be too high along and south of the I-85 corridor if CAD erosion is more aggressive than currently forecast. Finally, locally excessive rainfall will be possible across mountainous areas where the transition to rain occurs Sunday afternoon...with the strong frontal band (where an isolated elevated thunderstorm cannot be ruled out) likely providing the tipping point to some minor runoff issues developing late afternoon/evening. .

Can someone please explain to me like I'm 5 how weather apps like AccuWeather can significantly decrease the ice totals and duration and severity of this storm in Greenville while the models euro/GFS are raising ice totals? AccuWeather has .19 for Saturday night and .17 for Sunday. So .36 for the whole storm. Chris Justus is hyping ice totals to catastrophic and giving Greenville .75. I'd say there's a huge difference between the damage .36 total of ice will cause as opposed to the .75 most everyone else is forecasting. Why these lowball ice predictions on these apps compared to everyone else?

Greenville/Spartanburg gets shut out completely with this run. 1.6" snow, and dry? Didn't see that coming since the Euro ghosted us .

Light steady snow in south Greenville/Mauldin. .

I'm in Greenville/Mauldin right next to Simpsonville. Most of the county including myself has no power. 90% of Greenville County is out of power. Trees down near me including my backyard. No traffic lights near me, tree blocking main rd near me. Not sure when they will get to us but since it's so widespread, it might take longer. I'm suspecting Simpsonville is more of the same. The weather will be fine as soon as this afternoon but cleanup might take awhile. Hope you had helps. .

You must be talking about mine. I'm from NY originally. That avatar was from Sandy. It stays - Ahh the memories lol .

I'm in Greenville SC. Nobody around here has power. Tree down in my yard. Felt like gusts were near 80mph although I have no idea. .