CCHurricane

On 2/8/2026 at 12:42 AM, CCHurricane said:

In over +100 years (since 1918), Boston is looking to make a run at the longest stretch (19-days) where day-time highs failed to break above 34°F (currently at 16).

Impressive stuff to not have a few days pop into the 40's, while also considering the potentially warm-biased Logan readings vs. history. 

23 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Love the stats that you share. Thanks for posting. 

In over +100 years (since 1918), Boston is looking to make a run at the longest stretch (19-days) where day-time highs failed to break above 34°F (currently at 16).

Impressive stuff to not have a few days pop into the 40's, while also considering the potentially warm-biased Logan readings vs. history. 

15 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Still snowing a bit… 5ish 

So just a tad more than 1 inch.

Gotta stay positive! Results to the north boded well for you.

14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

WTD Snow 

Looks light on Cape, have +30" WTD in Barnstable 

1 hour ago, kdxken said:

 

I fundamentally do not understand coming to a conclusion based on a 360-hour EPS run.

If this past storm was any indication, these sort of model "means" can be wildly inaccurate even at just 120 hours out. Modeled period of elevated activity =/ snowfall. 

11 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

18z EPS actually has a few interesting members next weekend.. we watch? 

We watch

There’s gotta be some +4” reports coming from this south shore band when it’s all said and done, no?

21 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

You’ll get 2-4

2-4 mm 

23z HRRR with signs of the cave. All she wrote, on to the next one. 

5 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

6z NAM gets the cape good again

And 12z with the rug pull. Cape Cod will be lucky to come away with an inch.

Inside 120hrs, a disaster class by the full suite of models. OP, AI, and Ensembles.

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

You’ll get snow 

00Z suite look tepid. 

Max QPF across any one model is looking like 0.3, and thats the 12k NAM (whereas the 3k is only showing 0.15). NWS may have to discontinue that WSWatch, 4-7 looking a tad ambitious. 

Cape Cod may be lucky to even get a dusting at this rate...

Such wasted potential for all!

10 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I think kuchera is not particularly usable with this setup.  Also, wind could be big shredding good growth.

Oh I totally agree, haha. Just interested in that output given the QPF dump. Drifting would be historic at +50mph, redux 2005 despite it being a totally different setup.

I need a Kuchie output stat!

1 minute ago, JKEisMan said:

Now let’s bring it further west for WOR crowd

NOT TOO FAR

AI-GFS says game on for eastern areas...

#8 all-time storm here in Boston. 

Hard to complain about that. With this one wrapped up and on the books, 5 of the top 10 storms all-time for Boston will have come since 2013.

Now to take a breather and enjoy some deep winter vibes. 

18 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

BOS database management failing here, not sure why they are appearing to stack rank by single-day snowfall amounts (in the case of partial snowfall for 2003 storm) and compare to a 2-day total here.

2003 Presidents’ Day blizzard saw 27.6 for Boston and is actually the #1 all-time.

23.2” is still good for 8th all-time, just not right behind 2003.

1 hour ago, TheSnowman said:

I Don’t understand the Level of Excitement in here all week to through the storm.  Yes it’s Great.  But have you All Forgotten HOW many storms we’ve had in here where Everyone was Ripping 24”-36”+ with 3-4” per hour During the storm?  This is a full notch below it.  Everyone is close to 20.  It’s Fantastic.  But It’s not Boobs out in the Bahamas “Oh My God I’m losing my mind of happiness!” like Belichick on Senior Day.  

And You all think I’m losing my mind.  

Just take for instance JUST March 2019.  I got just about the exact Same amount in that storm as this.  EXCEPT, the Compact total was 16”, not 14” like this one, And it came as a Bomb in 1 piece.  AND most of you got 10-14, and I Jackpotted with 17.25.  Vs. Everyone from freaking Providence to Hartford to Blue Hill to Boston to Ipswitch in here getting 20….. And I get flipping under 18.  March 2019 was a Run of the Mill Medium Level Fairly Forgettable storm of mostly 10-14, and yet it was Better in Every way for my area except for duration.  Let alone talk March 2018 or many other Not totally historic events that were still better, Never Mind start talking 1996, 1997, 2005, 2013, 2015 or dare I mention the “RI Screw Job from Hell Fujiwawa 2013” that was 2 feet for everyone But RI.

 

You guys were so starved for a big storm you’ve acted the whole 7 days like this was the Blizzard of 2005 or 2013.  

Whatever helps you sleep at night…

The fact remains that this was a memorable storm for all of the right reasons. Just because you weren’t here for it doesn’t make it any less important for those who experienced it.

No different for what I’m sure have been countless events you’ve found memorable, that don’t even register for fellow board members. But you don’t see them being a complete a-hole about how it’s “not a big deal” that ultimately devolves into a juvenile gatekeeping / competition about who experienced “the best storms”. 

This storm will be memorable for all of the right reasons;

1) entrenched arctic airmass that held it’s ground

2) just the right amount of model waffling that brought this back from being a non-event Wed/Thur of last week

3 historically well producing SWFE that effected 1/3 of the country.

4) numerous +20” totals across the state of Massachusetts.

5) unpredictable mesoscale ending with amazing snowfall rates. 

6 the most historically relevant metro area having this event stand at #10 all-time.

16 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

anybody know the total for Boston?

20.2" as of 7PM - next (and final) update should be midnight

Only needs +1.3" for this to be the #10 snowstorm in Boston history, don't think that should be a problem given the surrounding reports from other board members. 

Very easy for folks to lose perspective with just how lucky we've been in the recent past. While its come at a cost (warmer winters), if this one scratches out 21.5", 5 of the top 10 storms all-time for Boston will have come since 2013.

Stacking up quickly.

BOS may be able to pull off a top-10 storm after all.

43 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Sorry not fresh, but wanted to add to thread for legacy / archival purposes... I thought this was a nice bit from the Box AFD last night detailing the storm.

I'm still not sure why snowgrowth wasn't as good as many (including this AFD) expected... but with Cocorahs having generally 1.4-1.7 qpf / snow totals 15-20" (@Ginx snewx's call all week) with areas 20"+ in the expected north shore and Worcester hills... seems like SLRs ~10-12:1? Still achieved 1-1.5" / hr rates for almost entire duration.

KEY MESSAGE 1...Major winter storm continues this evening and
overnight. Difficult to impossible travel conditions persist through
12-2am with 1-3" per hour snowfall rates.

After a bit of an early start, snowfall rates have increased to 1
inch per hour across much of the CWA this afternoon. These dangerous
travel conditions continue well into the overnight as low pressure
deepens offshore helping to increase mid level frontogenesis. The
bulk of the snow falls through about 06z with gradual improvement
into Monday morning as a dry slot works its way into the region.
Storm totals are still holding steady as of the 18z update with
totals expected to be in the 12"-18" range across the majority of
southern New England, with 8"-12" expected on the Cape, Islands, and
immediate southern coast. The higher elevations and northeastern MA
will likely see 18"-24" for much of the 495 corridor including the
Boston metro area.

Coastal low takes shape off the Del Marva Peninsula this afternoon
helping to further increase mid-level frontogenesis. In response, a
deep and robust layer of lift will extend through much of the column
including the dendritic growth zone (DGZ). BUFKIT soundings even
show the potential for 2 favorable layers for dendritic growth, one
in the mid to upper levels, and another closer to the surface with
the deep and substantial near surface cold pool. Attention turns
from mid level frontogenesis to lower level frontogenesis (925-
850mb) as a steep low level temperature gradient associated with an
incoming coastal front approaches from the south. Coastal front
initially races north across the ocean then slows to a crawl this
evening as it encounters the wedge of low level cold air on land.
Warm front aloft still continues north overnight, so expecting +SN
to slowly transition to heavy sleet along the south coast and move
inland between 00-05z Furthest inland extent looks to be along west
to east corridor extending from Providence RI to Plymouth MA. In
these locations the mid level warm nose increases to +1-2C. Perhaps
a bit more exciting for us weather lovers is the non-zero
chance for +TSSN as the mid levels warm enough for some elevated
instability this evening into the overnight. Northeasterly LLJ
increases to 30-40kts this evening as the low center passes just
S of Nantucket. Thus, could see a period of gusty winds and
blowing snow especially over the southern waters, Cape and
Islands. HREF blizzard probs remain around 20%-30%, between 22
and 05z. The limiting factors for blizzard conditions along the
south coast will be sleet and lower snow ratios as well as the
short lived nature of the gustiest winds.

Further inland, the  mid level warm front stops short of changing
the precip type to sleet and instead brings a lower ratio snow that
that will help to cap totals between 12 and 18 inches for much of
the interior. Impressive temperature gradient develops overnight
with surface temps rising to near 32 as far inland as PVD but
staying in the lower teens at ORH on the other side of the surface
warm front!

Prolific snow winds down from SW to NE as a mid level dry slot
pushes into southern New England as 500-700mb RH values fall to 40-
60%. RH values like these are hostile to snow crystal growth and
instead favor a period of "snizzle" or flurries. Any lingering snow
eventually tapers to light flurries. Last hold out for light to
moderate snow will be northeastern Massachusetts as northeasterly
flow on Monday will allow for ocean-driven snow showers to persist
into Monday afternoon. The next key message will better focus on
Monday`s snowfall.

Bufkit estimates were very accurate (both for NAM and GFS) for the locations that I checked leading up to the storm beginning.

Now whether it was right for the right reasons, or right just by chance, I’ll let the actual mets share their thoughts.

6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I would like to see BOS eclipse 20.  Shouldn’t be too hard with 18.6 at 7AM.  I don’t care about my own total which is probably close to Logan’s and I’ll measure after I get my morning activity done.  

Logan @ 16.7 at 12AM reading. 

+6.2 above 7PM reading of 10.2 —> 1.25 in/hr average.