chubbs

Here's a comparison for the east coast, Philadelphia and Richmond, roughly the same distance and direction as Detroit/Dayton. Using the regression line, the Philly Airport is as warm today as the Richmond Airport was in the late 1970s, 58F. I like using the regression line because that is the best estimate of the temperature one would expect in any year based on past temperatures.

Here's a study from a few years back with a similar goal. How far will my climate shift in the future? https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2019/02/190212120044.htm https://www.umces.edu/futureurbanclimates

A chart from the technical paper shows that the rate of ocean warming is increasing. Note that data is from a number of sources including satellite net radiation measurements. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-026-5876-0

Sea level rise is accelerating along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts. Here are Savannah and Cape May for instance. Data available at link below. https://psmsl.org/data/obtaining/stations/395.php Savannah Cape May

http://www.ocean.iap.ac.cn/pages/dataService/dataService.html?languageType=en&navAnchor=dataService

Large increase in 0-2000m ocean heat content last year. NOAA data through mid-year also shows a large increase.

Yes impressive cold in Alaska and Yukon. Cool here in Philly also. Our coolest December since 2010.

PIOMASS volume growth has been slow this freezing season, ending 2025 at record low levels. The second low is 12/31/2016, which is hidden under the 2025 line.

Yes I know what performance is. All the things you mention and more will improve significantly with solid state batteries. The US market doesn't tell you much about EV performance because the best EVs come from China, not the US, and those vehicles are excluded from the US market. However this new announcement may allow other countries to catch-up or even leapfrog China. We will see.

The subsurface temperature distribution in the Pacific is similar to 2023, but the surface is different. Relative warmth is more west-based this year.

A Finnish start-up has introduced the first commercial solid-state battery: light-weight, durable, fast charging, and inexpensive. If product claims pan out, EV performance, which is already matching combustion vehicles, will improve dramatically. https://insideevs.com/news/783380/first-production-ready-all-solid-state-battery-official-specs/

Agree. A global temperature average with an 11-year running mean takes out almost all the variability due to: weather, enso, solar, and volcanoes.

Hunga Tonga volcano assessment report is out. Large effect on stratosphere but relatively small effect at surface: Professor Maycock said, "The Report shows that although water vapor is a greenhouse gas, Hunga had a net cooling effect overall and did not cause the record level of global warming observed in 2023 and 2024. This is a very important finding as understanding what caused the recent surge in global warming is a priority for the climate science community." https://phys.org/news/2025-12-international-reveals-atmospheric-impact-hunga.html https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/1049154/files/Hunga_APARC_Report_full.pdf?version=1

Pacific upwelling much faster at the equator than scientists thought “It turns out that equatorial upwelling in the Pacific is about 10 times faster than we previously thought,” Karnauskas said. “And this could be really important because that water rising toward the surface in the Pacific covers a huge fraction of the ocean surface, and it affects things like temperature and nutrients needed for photosynthesis.” His work, published today in the Journal of Climate, reveals the faster rate of upwelling and determines why older estimates were off. Karnauskas combed through old observations and analyzed vast amounts of new data from state-of-the-art measurement tools to get a more accurate estimate. The findings point to a key discrepancy in global climate models, which currently predict significant warming along the equator in the Pacific. This new rate may help researchers understand why they have struggled to capture key climate trends in the region. https://cires.colorado.edu/news/pacific-upwelling-much-faster-equator-scientists-thought https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/38/16/JCLI-D-24-0704.1.xml

China has shown that it is possible to ramp solar very quickly. The main constraint is factories not resources in the ground like fossil fuels. With batteries dropping rapidly in cost, the addressable market for solar has expanded significantly. The ability to cost-effectively replace fossil fuels at scale has suddenly developed.