canderson

Sorry

That’ll be bad for the crews who will be out trying restore power, cutting up fallen trees, helping those with roof damage and all

The disco is very bullish and if they mention it they likely go that way.

SPC basically said C MD on south to the piedmonts will be upgraded a level 4 risk.

@Voyager https://x.com/brody_wx/status/2032851932704886856?s=61&t=u98k6PBLbHMnYtCcWaeK4g

New day 3 is out Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0238 PM CDT Sat Mar 14 2026 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SC TO SOUTHERN PA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered to widespread severe storms are likely on Monday for parts of the Mid-Atlantic States and Southeast. The greatest potential for strong tornadoes and significant damaging winds appears centered on parts of South Carolina to Maryland during the late morning to afternoon. ...Mid-Atlantic and Southeast... Primary changes this outlook are to add a 45 total severe probability along with minor northeast and southeast expansion to the categorical risk areas. Portions of the region, centered on SC to MD, may warrant an upgrade to a level 4/Moderate Risk in later outlooks. A large and deepening upper trough will eject east/northeastward out of the MS/OH/TN Valleys and across the Appalachians and into the Mid Atlantic/Northeast on Monday, with an expansive area of strong to intense wind fields aloft. A deep cyclone will move from Lower MI into QC, with an occluding cold front arcing southeast across the northern Appalachians, then south-southwest into the northern Gulf. This front will clear all but the FL Peninsula by Monday evening. Ahead of the front, seasonably rich low-level moisture characterized by 60s surface dew points will spread northward from the eastern Gulf/western Atlantic. Convection will likely be ongoing at 12Z Monday, low-topped along the Upper OH Valley to central Appalachian portion of the front to deep convection in the lee of the southern Appalachians to eastern FL Panhandle. A diurnal uptick in storm intensity, including potential for semi-discrete supercells ahead of the front, should occur from north FL to the Carolina Piedmont. Further intensification is anticipated midday into the afternoon as a confined corridor of moderate buoyancy likely develops just ahead of morning storms. Enlarged low-level hodograph curvature, in conjunction with favorable elongation of the mid/upper hodograph, should foster a mix of broken supercells south with line-embedded supercells in the reinvigorated QLCS north. With such intense 700-mb flow aptly timed with the diurnal heating cycle overlying rich low-level moisture, setup could yield an expansive severe weather day, including strong tornadoes and significant damaging winds. The degree of boundary-layer heating, as well as timing of convection that may outpace the front late D2 into early D3, will play key roles in how intense severe magnitudes may become. At present, the most likely corridor for significant/widespread severe appears centered on the eastern Piedmont to coastal plain from SC to MD around midday into the afternoon.

NAM has an incredibly nasty QLCS rush hour ish Monday. It’d cause significant issues.

Today in 2017 I got 19” snow.

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It will.

49 has been my highest gust. I am trying to think back to the last time ingredients were this good and will be in place for a derecho-like line here. I can’t think of any. Unless S PA gets heavy cloud cover Monday, a significant line is coming through and will destructive in a lot of places. And ahead of that line will be an equally strong squall.

Yup. VA will be he most prone for those but definitely a chance here. We likely have the 80+ mph dry front crossings.

SPC has a disco for a day 4 threat. That rarely ever happens. Monday is the two deal for the S third of PA for multiple rounds of derecho-type storms

Insane winds I hate this

Yea but then just kick back up Sunday am. Saved a few clicks to keep open lol