dryslot

Its spitting out between 1.5-2.0" qpf on the Ukie doing the conversion.

5 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

I think weathermodels has some?  But yeah that’s a model that you just never see anything good lol.

I have it, But its not out yet on there, Use to be around 12:00 pm.

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Probably    Seems to follow the Ukie lately...lol

That was a good shift to the east on the uncle, I'm expecting a few tics east on the Euro.

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Thats fairly far east....prob wouldhave trouble getting precip to western areas.

Maybe is over the elbow? This is the one before it, Its definitly east of the 0z run.

Just now, weathafella said:

Uncle awake yet?

16 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I got me some muthufukkas!

May have to take the bottle out of the cabinet tonight.

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Lol, I wouldn't feel good about this storm until 00z tomorrow night.

Ha, Is that when you would be looking out the window?

I want to see 0z runs before i go all in, But fairly confident for up here sitting in the middle, There is some wiggle room as long as guidance holds.

12z GGEM

Ashland area jack on that run, 18-24"+

Just now, Allsnow said:

Yeah. You’re seeing the American guidance coming back towards a more zonked solution. The euro might have been all over the place but it was the first to show such a dynamic system. 

Just a bit to far west, But yes.

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Oh?  For whom?

Stay the course, Still plenty left in the tank up there.

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You or us?

Us

This is going to be a good GFS run.

12z GFS going to have some phasing with the N S/W this run.

2 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Damn, I bet it would have been showing a huge bomb wrapped up near the coast. It was sometimes good for that.

It never failed to raise the weenie.

3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

How’s it for the rest of us (junkies thank you..)

More of a late bloomer and warm to start down your way, Looked more wet then white in EMA, But we know its been bad so i don't take much stock in it.

1 minute ago, Lava Rock said:

Back out with the genny

Keep it handy, I got lucky this last time, Reggie with 8-10" for us.

Just now, powderfreak said:

12Z ICON moved quite a bit east.  It was jackpotting N.NY.

Pretty Iconic, Don't you think?

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

The Euro comes out in an hour?

12:45

3 minutes ago, Arnold214 said:

Heavy heavy outages

Some are still recovering from this last one, I lucked out and never lost it.

Eckster's in the house though.

Where's Legro?

1 minute ago, PhineasC said:

Make sense. If the 3k ran a few more panels I think it would show the same big totals up here the 12k 06z had. So I feel better.   

Hope the GFS helps clear things up, not holding my breath. 

Yeah, It was just getting here at hr60, I think you end up being fine, At least we will have a few more folks to talk to when its ripping here and folks south are done, Usually i talk to myself, ha ha

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

3K NAM is like 50kts of wind driven paste. Nothing left standing. 

 

That was fun, we'll see what the big boy models do though. 

Exactly, I think we will see the Euro tic east some, GFS went west, The area outlined here may be a good zone when its all said and done.