dryslot

Looked like some improvements on the 06z model runs over yesterdays model suite, We will see what 12z brings today.

A few runs we were getting a partial phase so precip was enhanced with the SLP near LI pulling the colder air down to the coast and potential was there for some of the modeled higher precip totals, Some of today's runs ran that s/w out ahead of the one in the ohio valley leaving a torched BL and lighter precip, 12z Euro was a bit better but still out ahead so it was late, Still need to watch it.

Last year, Dec had 9.0" here, This year, 5.3", I wouldn't grade it any higher then last year and don't see anything that will change that.

Super Grinch ugly.

Been consistent for a few cycles, Hopefully correct the 1st 10 days of Jan.

The Xspire model has already expired.

Where was camp? Yeah, I may make that trek a time or two, When i was younger, NBD, But as i am older i only have to travel 1-1.5 hrs for good snow and now go during the week with less people out on the trails and fresh tracks with free stay where i ride.

I would probably think differently if i had a long travel to get to decent riding but that's me, Its not the case though, I'm usually not that far away to travel to snow.

Maybe once i'm off the antibiotics i'll have one.

Correct, I don't care if it snows in my BY i don't ride here anymore due to a 1-2 week window the last several years, The pack is needed for riding to cover up obstacles in the trails like rocks and roots, etc,etc A couple of 7-9:1 mash potato storms in the 3-6"/4-8"+ range with some cold and off we go.

In snowmobiling obviously, There's no snow making, Northern Maine was off to a good start with Lakes, Ponds and bogs frozen and a decent hard pack base, Some were already riding logging roads, After the last storm last week, All of it is wiped out, The amount of damage to bridges and downed trees is severe, Were back to October ground conditions as far as frozen is concerned. So even if everything that's projected coming up comes thru, It will be Feb the earliest to be able to get out there, And that's provided there's no delay with any of it, The clocks ticking each day, With no cold around right now, We cant even begin the process, And its not just snowmobiling, Its smelt fishing, Ice fishing and all other winter recreation plus the states winter tourism is non exsistant because you can't even get to a ski area either.

It seems like every time things start to look good it gets pushed back, There is a point of no return though, Up here, It could be sooner rather then later, We're starting from scratch all over again.

A failed veiled attempt.

I'm expecting to see snow up here on Saturday, Its on all the models and ensembles of various projected qpf amounts.

Edit, I’m watching the 12z Euro.

Ha, I never looked at the 0z Euro, And, Yes it does, Let it continue.

We wait, Time to see if we can get more consistency out of the models going forward, Need to get the Euro onboard.

Zappe Holidays?

Commented on this in the Dec thread, Also quite the nuke on the CMC.

And the nuke on the CMC too.

Merry Christmas, And a Happy New Year From the 12z GFS.

Merry Christmas Everyone, At least this year won't have to hide at the party to view model runs.

0z CMC would work in NNE.

Dick?

You will need to get that snow pretty quick before the Mid Atlantic goes above their climo avg on snow the next couple weeks.