dryslot
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Everything posted by dryslot
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Today the models had the front a bit more robust slowing down and moving Lee a bit east on its approach, We will see if that continues on the 0z runs, I would expect some waffling to the timing and strength, Biggest factor is still the winds, Minor changes there as Lee looks to maintain on some of these runs its tropical characteristics a bit longer, Especially into the GOM. -
Front is lagging a bit this run, Should be a tic or two east.
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Looks like it
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Its Sw of 06z, About 1° west of it.
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12z Nam is a bit slower then the 06z run, Should be west some i think given where the trough is going.
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And a longer period too.
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Even an east track wont have a lot of affect on power outages, Going to be quite widespread, That wind field massive.
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Folks up here have no fuking clue what’s going on.
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The 06z run bit stronger then the 0z Run, On the 06Z @hr90, 971.6mb, 0z@hr96, 977mb, SLP when its in the GOM is pretty much the same.
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All along the Maine coast pushing all that water into the harbors the storm surge could be quite extensive.
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Lee really slows down when it gets up here too, That's a long time to be in a SE fetch and those winds, There could be some catastrophic damage.
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Lee on these last few model runs is also tracking close to 68W on these tracks too
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The trough has been the key on the last couple model cycles, The slower solutions along with a weaker fleeting trough lifting north gives Lee the room to come west.
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One is looking more likely here now.
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Hope they have a good ground game......lol
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Thats a major cave on the GFS towards the Euro
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0z GFS LF near BGR
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Its on..........
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0z GFS looks to be heading towards the 18z Euro
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It could be a few tics west, The front has lifted out faster then 18z.
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Thru hr 27, 0z GFS is a bit slower then the 18z run.
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He should worry more about home at that point.
