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kdxken

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Posts posted by kdxken

  1. 1 hour ago, tamarack said:

    Coldest of our 10 Februarys in Fort Kent, despite 1, 2, 24 and 28 being 15+ AN.  All we got was a few clouds from that storm on the 17th.  Feb. 10-17 averaged -4/-19 with max running -2 to -7, min -16 to -22, and the wind never quit the whole 8 days, peaking on 16 (-5/-16) and 17 (-7/-22).  Those 8 days ran 22° BN, peaking at 28° BN on the 17th.

    Didn't we used to have a poster from fort kent? Or was that you?

    • Confused 2
  2. Super more flooding.

    Still have some discrepancy on how quickly the cold front moves
    through. Given the deep trough slowly lifting through am thinking
    the front will be slowly moving through like depicted by the
    UKMET/ECMWF/CMC/ICON guidance. The GFS/NAM are the fastest with
    moving the front through. Will be important in how quickly the front
    passes through because could have a prolonged heavy rain risk
    Wednesday night and especially on Thursday. Wednesday night PWATs
    increase to roughly 1.5-1.75" ahead of the incoming front. On
    Thursday south-southwesterly flow will advect in 1.75-2" PWATs. This
    is AOA the 90th percentile per SPC Sounding climatology for CHH for
    this time of year. Given antecedent conditions we can`t handle too
    much rainfall, so think there could be a flood risk Wednesday night
    and on Thursday. The current WPC Day 3 Excessive Rainfall Outlook
    may not be far enough west especially if things continue trending
    toward the slower solutions.
    • Confused 1
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