Nibor

What's the skill level of the FV3? I see it posted occasionally.

14 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

 

That is quite the look.

12 minutes ago, Greg g said:

This is the one time I’m wishing for no storm as I have a flight out of Newark to orlando next Sunday at 1;00pm

thots and prayers

Just now, tmagan said:

0.9" each day.

That is hilarious. 

33 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

Agree with this, within the next 3 weeks either it will deliver or we’ll stop hearing about potential. 

Agree, either it will snow or it won’t. 

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

yup, the CMC is insane, very similar to 00z yesterday

Classic. Textbook. 

2 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Jackpotted next Sunday! What could possibly go wrong???

Bruh, I know you lack it in your life but let us have some fun. Have some humility. 

5 minutes ago, Rjay said:

93 but east.  955mb just inside the bm.  Only 300 more hours to go!

I love anything that gives me snow but a well positioned Miller A just hits different. 

18 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Models going ham with the fantasy storms. How about a blizzard from GA to the Northeast 

That is the most wild depiction of any long range run this year other than the Christmas storm that ended up cutting. Fun stuff. 

11 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Until we’re within 48 hrs of anything this winter I’m not excited about it. Not saying this upcoming pattern doesn’t have potential, but there’s also the high potential of something ruining it. Can’t think of any time where a total crap winter was saved by a March blizzard. 

So we’re due. Noted. 

10 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

EPS is absurd for next weekend 

there's pretty much everything here for a major storm

• vigorous S/W digging over the Plains
• decaying -NAO over north central Canada
• highly anomalous 50/50 ULL
• ridging building upstream

 

28 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

i would think damp air would make you feel colder than dry air at the same temperature and wind, given the specific heat of water, but it seems like the reduced evaporation might overwhelm that effect.  night like this feels warm relatively speaking.

if i was a real engineer instead of a glorified dilbert character i'd still be able to calculate this.  actually i might just do that idk

I believe in you. You’ve got this. 

55 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

I’m allsnow this spring 

8 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Right, because you know there’s definitely going to be a massive, historic KU climbing the coast with 24”+ and -30F below normal highs. There are no definites in weather and for the most part, in life

No one is saying that. You always go with extremes. Either it’s “warm, nothing, zip, nada, no snow for you!” Or you freak out on an imaginary person calling for a blizzard. 

12 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Yup NYC is so large there can be big diffs

I don't know if the 1.3 for this storm is official.

 

 

It’s definitely more than that but with cpk you never know what random way they’ll find to mess up the measurement. 

16 hours ago, Juliancolton said:

The northern lights were visible at least as far south as the Catskills and Poconos last night. I slept through it, naturally. 

https://www.instagram.com/p/CpK8gUfMmt3/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=

Dammit! Just missed it on my camping trip. 

21 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Lol

 

29 minutes ago, Juliancolton said:

This is one of the greatest things I've ever read. Just an all-time great. Monuments will be erected in its honor. 

3 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

I'm much more partial to Prospect Park it's where I grew up.  I've always considered Manhattan and Central Park where the elitist of the elite hang out and I'm not into that kind of snobbery.  I also don't like the obsession over Central Park weather, New York City is a lot larger than just that one park and I feel the conditions over the entire city need to be taken into account when considering records....this discussion has been had on this forum ad infinitum, whether it's averaging of the park plus the two (or three airports if you also consider Newark) or taking the highest and lowest of all of them combined for the records.  I happen to support all of that since it gives a much fuller picture of the city than just one location which isn't even accurate in its measurements of snowfall, wind or temperature.  I've been to the Bronx Zoo and Prospect Park several times, just never Central Park.

 

12 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Nice.  I've camped there many times.  Never had a stove in my tent though.  Might have had a Sierra Nevada or two.  

We had a few more than just Sierra Nevada  Awesome night. Low was 14. Coldest it got in the tent was 21 when the stove went out. We averaged 68 otherwise. It snowed on and off of all day at camp. We made the most of this lame winter. 

Camping out in Allaben in the Catskills tonight. It was a magical afternoon. 

Driving up the ny thruway. Very pretty out. 

This snow is fluffy af. 

Flurries/light snow Edgewater, NJ. 

2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Saw this map...do you guys really have "leafout" there in NYC already?

There’s definitely buds and bulbs in spots. 

31 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

It looks like a period of light snow/snow showers tomorrow. It wouldn't surprise me if some areas pick up an inch or so. 

On 2/16/2023 at 4:16 PM, Rtd208 said:

Singing.

Done.