weatherlogix

58 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Suffolk County jackpot. That means this is real. I have the Phish concert at the Colliseum on Sunday. Hoping the snow doesn’t cancel the show

Ha - ill be there as well (Providence too)

2 hours ago, Snow88 said:

Holy shit its pouring cats and dogs

 

I have never seen it rain this hard in a long time

Never and a long time - which one is it?

2 hours ago, JustinRP37 said:

Starting to have a feeling we may not experience true summer before mid-June. Hopefully we start warming up and drying out some soon. I just have to keep reminding myself we are almost out of spring, the worst season of the year. 

This sounds like what people were saying in late December....winter will be here in mid-January. NOT. This could very well be a year with out a summer but it will be a warm fall....

Shouldn't the wavelengths be shortening? There has no zero hint of that!

Did we have this look once all winter??

1 hour ago, uncle W said:

the raw part is right but temperatures are averaging above normal this Spring...NYC has not had a day below 50 so far this month...the record high May max is 49...2019 could set the record for the warmest May max on record...there is a chance temperatures could get below 50 before the month ends but not much below that I think...

seem like it will be raw, wet and cold for the foreseeable future.

1 hour ago, golfer07840 said:

So what do you think the summer will bring? 

Humid and wettish like last summer....not very hot. Next winter will be crappy as well. Seems like we are way off on -NAO timing and have been for years.

Well, I posted this on January 28th.  "I'd bet this upcoming Spring will be cold and raw"

9 hours ago, bluewave said:

The historic measurable rainfall streak gets extended to 18 days at Islip. This would even make the top 10 for a place like Seattle.

Number of Consecutive Days Precipitation >= .01 
for Islip Area, NY (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Run Length	Ending Date
Last value also occurred in one or more previous years.
Period of record: 1963-09-05 to 2019-05-07
1	18	2019-05-07
2	9	1969-11-10
3	8	2003-01-06
-	8	2000-05-25
-	8	1998-05-11
-	8	1986-02-21
-	8	1978-08-07
4	7	2018-09-12
-	7	2014-12-11
-	7	2009-05-07

 

Number of Consecutive Days Precipitation >= .01 
for Seattle Area, WA (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Run Length	Ending Date
Last value also occurred in one or more previous years.
Period of record: 1894-01-01 to 2019-05-06
1	33	1953-02-07
2	27	2006-01-14
3	25	1961-02-21
4	24	1953-12-03
5	23	1933-12-26
6	22	1965-01-08
7	20	1924-11-11
8	19	2012-12-27
-	19	1963-11-19
-	19	1960-02-09
-	19	1946-01-07
-	19	1904-03-08
9	18	2016-03-14
-	18	2014-02-25
-	18	1999-03-04

And notice in Seattle it's a list full of Fall/Winter months. This is absurd/crappy weather

South shore LI - sleet

and were done....

Just now, justinj said:

I’m concerned I not hit 6”

you arent going to hit 3"

yeah id bet every model gonna bust for south shore of LI...no way we see 6-9"

2018-2019 strikes again

im not so sure the models that pushed those higher totals well north will be right. 

not sure the south shore of LI is going to get anywhere the forecasted amounts. This is looking like a sloppy 2-4"

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Looking at the run the mix just touches the south shire of LI. Manhattan stays all snow.

what part of the south shore of LI? How far inland?

Just now, Snow88 said:

HRRR still showing 6-10 inches for the City

Ehhh, looks like it's showing a More northerly push

2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

GFS pretty much shows you why an event like January 87 for example severely busted.  This event is probably forecast as mostly rain 30 years ago for NYC 

And the forecast for that January 87 event was 1-3" changing to rain. I was in 8th grade and that was the first positive bust of my lifetime

1 minute ago, White Gorilla said:

Whatever the GGEM is smoking, I want it. 

thats a ccombo of LSD, Molly and weed while at MSG for a NYE Phish show

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

That would an epic BECS. 78 redux only further south

are there negative odds I can place on this outcome?

LOL at the GGEM....take a peek at hours 186-216....funniest snow map of all time. Would this put us above average for the year?

38 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Typo at the end.  If you’re near the coast the Sunday night storm has 3 possibilities.  All rain (least likely), all snow (more likely), rain to snow (most likely).  Starting as snow and going over to rain is remote on this event  

That makes more sense now - thanks for the clarification!

32 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

There’s no chance if a snow to rain event with this.  It’s either all snow, all rain or snow to rain 

huh?

39 minutes ago, bluewave said:

This is the first time this year that the CPC analogs had 1996 at the top of the list. So perhaps we get a shot at some accumulating snow like we did the first week of March 1996 with the cold -EPO pattern.

 

 

LOL, do I see a 3/13/93 on that list?

I also see 2 dates from 2002...

The radar looks horrid