BIG FROSTY

ip/zr coming down 31.4/28

3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

The 0Z RGEM ,with once again , ridiculous amounts....


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It's always way overdone on totals!  currently 29.7/27

Can you guys post those call maps or links, please? Tell me more...

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9 hours ago, HKY_WX said:

Day 10 is very close to a Hazel scenario with caribbean tropic trouble and a potential negative tilt through/ cutoff over the Ohio Valley. Something to watch at least.

Hey Brandon, Are you going to do a winter forecast? (hope so)   Hope you are doing well!!! 

4 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

How much for Greensboro?

 

 

At least we getting to the time of year that the pretty colors are showing up!

Nice big rain event! 

Davis Vantage Vue- 3.49"

WeatherFlow- 3.23" 

Looks like about 3/4 of a inch here..... 

1 minute ago, shaggy said:

Yea sitting here at PGV with individual model maximums all around me. Some south some north some west......who knows.

You just might be in the prime spot this time Shag! 

1 minute ago, bess said:

We are fine in the foothills... trust me.

Hope you're right, But I need to see some maps they say so! lol 

Just now, Pilotwx said:

Agreed

 

Maybe we'll get a decent chance in March!

Seems every model looks very anemic with moisture here in the N.Foothills! And even more pronounced as we get closer to start time.............

3 hours ago, BullCityWx said:

Paging @BIG FROSTY

I wish! But not gonna happen 

Don't waste your time looking at the 18z GFS, I just did and will never get that time back.................. 

23 minutes ago, eyewall said:

We all need to take a trip here:
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=45.37345000000005&lon=-121.69563#.XhjxxiNOnV8

What time you planning on leaving? We better hurry before the roads get slick! 

10 hours ago, mackerel_sky said:

GFS hasn’t wavered in the past 4-5 days, with no moisture making it much North of i-20. Rock steady and may be right!

I just hope the rain stays south of me! It is awful wet around here. IF NO snow I would like to stay dry for a week or so.

Way south and OTS 

1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said:

Yeah, that ain’t happening! It’s the 18zGFS! 45 degree snows are the best!

Probably not, But I'll give it a few more days before I say  "IT"S NOT HAPPENING" 

BOOM! I'll take it and be happy!

00z RGEM I think has about 10 hours of ZR in my area. Mess or No it's about temps, 28-29 vs 31-32 BIG difference when you talking ZR.

4 hours ago, Queencitywx said:

I think there's a definite shot at seeing some sleet/snow mix in with the end of the precip from Durham west on 40 tomorrow morning.

This just in! Good call on the possibility of some flakes!!!!   Not buying the Up to 1 inch, but maybe some mix!!!

.TONIGHT...Rain. Snow likely after midnight. Snow accumulation up
to 1 inch. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest winds around 10 mph
with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation near
100 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of snow and rain in the
morning. Little or no snow accumulation. Highs in the mid 40s.
Light and variable winds. Gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 

12 minutes ago, superjames1992 said:

I think the GGEM typically overdoes low level cold.  Or at least it used to.

And I'm 100% sure it is this time also, or moving precip in way to fast...................  Unless THE KING and Goofus really change their tune! 

1 hour ago, ryan1234 said:

If that actually came to fruition most of the state's population would be without power. And we'd end losing a lot of trees. It would make Hugo look like no big deal... 

I give that map about 0.2% chance of verifying, and that's a stretch................. In fact I give half of that amount a 0.5% chance of verifying! Now I'm talking the 1.50-2.00 inch amounts

Just now, Queencitywx said:

It looks pretty solid here 

Yes it does!

40 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

Somebody wake up @BIG FROSTY and tell him he got NAMed tonight 

Yes maybe a token flake Wednesday! 

Good luck and enjoy it Mountain folks! We here in the foothills will just look a pics y'all post!!! lol